Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2023

Cardinals at Brewers

8:10 pm • BSWI

St. Louis Cardinals

51-48

0 - 3

Milwaukee Brewers

58-40

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			3.39	10-8
D.Hudson			4.98	6-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 51-48	+1.5+105	o8-125	+220
Brewers 58-40	-1.5-125	u8+105	-270

Thursday 8:10 p.m.

September 28, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-122

1.25u

#Tailing Discord Trevor & Hammons from the GG Discord on this Play.

MIL -1.5 (F5)+114

1.14u

Should clear F5 with Hudson on the mound for STL.

MIL -220 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -255

Featured Insight
The Cardinals have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- tied for seventh-lowest in MLB (101 games). The Brewers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- second-lowest in MLB (104 games).

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Featured Insight
Brewers have won 55% of their games on the road over the last two weeks -- tied for sixth-best in MLB. Cardinals have won just 45% of their games on the road over the last two weeks -- 10th-worst.

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Thursday's MLB Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Sep 28, 2023 UTC

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The Brewers are 88-68 (.564) this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

33% of Paul Goldschmidt strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 40% of Corbin Burnes's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

43% of Lars Nootbaar strikeouts are looking since last season -- highest among hitters with at least 478 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. 32% of Sam Moll strikeouts are looking since last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (163/259) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 28-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Brewers' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	54-44	26-24	28-20	22-25	31-19
Cardinals	53-46	27-22	26-24	19-25	33-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	41-54-3	20-29-1	21-25-2	21-25-1	20-28-2
Cardinals	53-42-4	27-20-2	26-22-2	24-17-3	28-25-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	58-40	33-17	25-23	31-16	26-24
Cardinals	51-48	29-20	22-28	24-20	26-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 27th	STL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	MIL -145
Sep 26th	STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -166
Sep 24th	@MIA	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 7	MIA -130
Sep 23rd	@MIA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7	MIA -120
Sep 22nd	@MIA	W 16-1	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -148

Rhys Hoskins
1B
Hoskins is out with thumb
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
RP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Hudson, P	84	5	3	3
RA.Pallante, P	20	1.2	1	0
RJ.Barnes, P	13	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Nootbaar, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2T.Edman, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Walker, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4L.Baker, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5R.Palacios, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Yepez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Knizner, C	1-3	0	0	0
8J. Querecuto, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Winn, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Burnes, P	66	4	4
RJ. Teheran, P	52	4	4
LE.Small, P	24	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	2-3	1	1
1B.Perkins, RF	0-0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	1
3C.Santana, 1B	1-4	1	0
4M.Canha, RF	1-4	0	0
4M.Canha, LF	1-4	0	0
5W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0
6R.Tellez, DH	1-3	0	0
7J. Donaldson, 3B	1-2	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	0-3	0	0
9G.Mitchell, CF	1-1	1	0