The Connecticut Sun (9-28) and Dallas Wings (9-29) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at College Park Center in Arlington, Texas. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
The Sun are favored by -3.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 163 (-108o / -112u). The Sun are a -166 favorite to win outright, while the Wings are +136 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Sun vs. Wings prediction and WNBA picks.
Sun vs. Wings Odds, Pick
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -112 | 163 -108o / -112u | -166 |
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -108 | 163 -108o / -112u | +136 |
- Sun vs. Wings Spread: Sun -3.5 (-112), Wings +3.5 (-108)
- Sun vs. Wings Over/Under: 163 (-108o / -112u)
- Sun vs. Wings Moneyline: Sun -166, Wings +136
- Sun vs. Wings Best Bet: Sun Moneyline
Sun vs. Wings Preview
Injuries have hindered the Dallas Wings' season, and tonight the team may also be without rookie phenom Paige Bueckers and guard Arike Ogunbowale.
Both missed practice yesterday and Bueckers' status still listed as questionable due to illness. Ogunbowale is nursing right knee tendinitis and has been ruled out.
For the remainder of the season, the Wings had already lost Tyasha Harris (knee), Li Yueru (knee) and JJ Quinerly (ACL).
With such vital absences and both teams already eliminated from playoff contention, the Sun are clear favorites tonight.
The trends over the past 10 games also suggest an advantage for the Sun.
The Sun have scored 78.4 points per game in that span, compared to their 75.8 season average, while the Wings are giving up 90.1 points per game in their last ten contests, an increase from their 87.4 season average.
Our Bet Labs recommendation is to back the Sun in this game.
Sun vs. Wings Prediction
The "Value on the Middle Pack" system targets mid-tier WNBA teams — those winning between roughly one-fifth and two-thirds of their games — when they’re listed as moderate moneyline favorites during the regular season.
These are teams that aren’t dominant, but competent enough to handle business against less consistent competition.
The opposing teams are typically deeper into their season, with 20 to 68 games played, which provides a more stable benchmark for performance trends.
By focusing on the sweet spot of moneylines between minus 180 and minus 148, this system identifies value where public attention may lean too heavily on the opponent’s perceived experience or momentum, allowing efficient teams to be slightly underpriced in favorable matchups.
Best Bet: Sun ML -160 (Fanatics)
