The Connecticut Sun (11-31) and Atlanta Dream (28-14) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. EDT at Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Ga. The game will be broadcast live on Peachtree TV.
The Dream are favored by -13.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 160 (-109o / -110u). The Dream are a -1000 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +650 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Sun vs. Dream prediction and WNBA picks.
Sun vs. Dream Odds, Pick
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -111 | 160 -109o / -110u | +650 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -109 | 160 -109o / -110u | -1000 |
- Sun vs. Dream Spread: Dream -13.5 (-109 ), Sun +13.5 (-111)
- Sun vs. Dream Over/Under: 160 (-109o / -110u)
- Sun vs. Dream Moneyline: Sun +650, Dream -1000
- Sun vs. Dream Best Bet: Sun +13.5
Sun vs. Dream Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Sun have struggled all season and will hit the road for a game against a Dream team that has won four straight. This is certainly a daunting task for Connecticut, but the Sun are coming off an impressive win over the Mercury and we're just asking them to keep it close, not to win outright.
Still, backing a large underdog is scary, so let's dive into the Bet Labs' system and see what the trends say about backing Connecticut in this spot.
The "Bad team coming off a win" system target low-win-percentage WNBA teams (≤30%) that are coming off a win, but are now playing as an underdog (spread between +2.5 and +18). These teams often remain undervalued by the market, which creates inflated lines and betting value.
Overall, this system is 95-71-3 (57%) and has generated an 11% ROI. This season, the system is 10-8-1 (56%) and has produced a 6% ROI.
Best Bet: Sun +13.5
