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St Louis Blues vs Washington Capitals NHL Prediction, Pick, Odds, November 5

St Louis Blues vs Washington Capitals NHL Prediction, Pick, Odds, November 5 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

The St. Louis Blues (3-7-2) and Washington Capitals (6-5-1) meet in an NHL inter-conference duel tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:30 p.m. EST at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. The game will be broadcast live on TNT.

The Capitals are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at six (-120 / +100). The Capitals are a -150 favorite to win outright, while the Blues are +125 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Blues vs. Capitals predictions and NHL picks.

Blues vs. Capitals Odds, Pick

Blues Logo
Wednesday, Nov 5
7:30 p.m. ET
TNT
Capitals Logo
Blues Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-190
6
-110o / -110u
+125
Capitals Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+160
6
-110o / -110u
-150
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NHL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Blues vs. Capitals Puck Line: Blues +1.5 (-190), Capitals -1.5 (+154)
  • Blues vs. Capitals Over/Under: 6 (-120 / +100)
  • Blues vs. Capitals Moneyline: Blues +125, Capitals -150

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Blues vs. Capitals Preview

There have been six or fewer total goals scored in nine of Washington’s 12 games this season, a trend likely to continue Wednesday. There are multiple reasons for these low-scoring affairs, but perhaps the biggest is the play of goaltender Logan Thompson, who's expected to patrol the crease once again in this matchup.

Thompson finished fourth in the Vezina Trophy race last season, and he has only improved to start 2025. He currently leads the league with a .935 save percentage and a 1.51 goals-against average through his first eight starts, and that success is likely to continue against St. Louis.

Dominating the Blues over the past few seasons, Thompson is 3-0 with a .942 save percentage and a 1.66 goals-against average across the past three meetings.

Making his job easier is a Capitals blue line that does a strong job of suppressing high-danger scoring chances. This season, Washington ranks in the top half of the league in expected goals against per 60 minutes (xGA/60).

That said, St. Louis ranks even higher in that same category.

Meanwhile, neither offense is likely to find much success against these strong defenses — both teams enter this matchup ranking 21st or lower in goals per game.


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Blues vs. Capitals Prediction

The main concern regarding the under in this contest is goaltender Jordan Binnington, who had an awful start to the campaign. However, Binnington may be finding his form, as he’s coming off his best start of the season.

Facing the powerhouse Edmonton Oilers, Binnington stifled an elite offense and allowed just two goals on 26 shots for a .923 save percentage. Perhaps that performance was the confidence boost the Blues netminder needed to return to his typical form.

Pick: Under 6 (+100 | Play to -105)

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