The Detroit Red Wings (26-15-4) and Montreal Canadiens (25-13-6) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EST at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Canadiens are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6.5 (+102o / -120u). The Canadiens are a -137 favorite to win outright, while the Red Wings are +115 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Red Wings vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks.
Red Wings vs. Canadiens Odds, Pick
| Red Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 6.5 +102o / -120u | +115 |
| Canadiens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 6.5 +102o / -120u | -137 |
Red Wings vs. Canadiens Spread: Canadiens -1.5 (+170 ), Red Wings +1.5 (-210)
Red Wings vs. Canadiens Over/Under: 6.5 (+102o / -120u)
Red Wings vs. Canadiens Moneyline: Red Wings +115, Canadiens -137
Red Wings vs. Canadiens Preview
The "Fade Home Team Fat and Happy (when the road opponent is coming off multiple wins)" system focuses on the idea that recent success at home can inflate confidence and market pricing for the host team while masking the reality that momentum often swings more heavily toward the visiting side.
When a home club has just secured a strong victory in its own building, the perception is that it's in firm control — but that same comfort often reduces urgency and sharpness in the next outing.
At the same time, a road team traveling in off back-to-back wins is carrying momentum that tends to travel well, especially when those victories were decisive enough to build belief and rhythm.
The combination of a potentially complacent home team and a surging visitor creates value in fading the home side, even when market support suggests otherwise.
Red Wings vs. Canadiens Prediction
Overall, the system stands at 366-382 (49%) with a 6% ROI all-time, highlighting its long-term profitability. This season, it's off to an even 10-10 (50%) start, showing balanced performance as results continue to stabilize.
Best Bet: Red Wings Moneyline
