The Miami Dolphins (2-6) host the Baltimore Ravens (2-5) tonight in the first game of Week 9 on Thursday Night Football on Oct. 30. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. TNF will broadcast on Prime Video.
Ravens vs Dolphins odds have the Ravens as -485 moneyline favorites and Dolphins as +370 underdogs. The over/under is 51.5 points. The Ravens are 7.5-point favorites on the spread over the Dolphins (Ravens -7.5; -118).
Below, you can find our Ravens vs Dolphins picks and Thursday Night Football predictions, which include the spread, game total and props for Lamar Jackson, Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle and Malik Washington.
Ravens vs Dolphins Player Props & Picks
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Ravens vs Dolphins Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Moneyline
| Ravens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-7.5 -118 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | -485 |
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+7.5 -102 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | +370 |
- Ravens vs Dolphins Spread: Ravens -7.5 (-118), Dolphins +7.5 (-102)
- Ravens vs Dolphins Total: 51.5
- Ravens vs Dolphins Moneyline: Ravens -485, Dolphins +370
Thursday Night Football odds via DraftKings
Ravens vs Dolphins Against the Spread Prediction
The much maligned Dolphins rush defense has shown improvements in their previous two games, allowing just 2.8 yards per carry to Bijan Robinson on Sunday and 3.4 yards per rush to Quinshon Judkins the week prior.
However, this game against the Ravens’ rushing attack — led by Derrick Henry — will reveal just how much of an improvement Anthony Weaver’s defense has made.
Henry is averaging 5.9 yards per carry this season when Lamar Jackson is on the field, but just 3.7 yards per rush when any other quarterback has played in Jackson’s absence. Presumably, Jackson waited to return until his hamstring fully healed, meaning it is all systems go once more for the explosive Ravens offense.
The offense isn’t the only unit getting healthier, as the defense is starting to take shape for Baltimore. This would be the second consecutive season the Ravens have transformed themselves mid-season, and while I don’t expect them to perform like a top-five unit as they did a year ago, the 3.9 yards per rush allowed in their last two games displays they are heading in the right direction.
I’m expecting the Baltimore offense to put up a big number and for the defense to hold serve when Tua Tagovailoa and company are in catch-up mode.
I like this game to finish somewhere in the ballpark of a 31-21 type affair as the road favorites cover the number.
Pick: Ravens -7.5 (-110)
Ravens vs Dolphins Over/Under Prediction
By Billy Ward
I’m not sure what to make of the Dolphins offense. They seemed to be on the verge of total collapse heading into Week 8, then they dropped 34 points on a Falcons defense that had come into the game ranked sixth in DVOA on defense.
While Tyreek Hill is done for the season, they still have dynamic playmakers in Jaylen Waddle and De'Von Achane, and Tua Tagovailoa is a solid game manager when he’s not chasing points and constantly under pressure.
On the other hand, I’m fairly confident that the Dolphins defense is one of the league’s worst. They’ve allowed 27 points per game despite a relatively easy strength of schedule, and rank 29th by DVOA.
That’s a major problem against a Ravens team that is getting Lamar Jackson tonight.
Baltimore put up 30 points on a (slightly) better defense without Jackson last week, and have scored at least 30 points in every game he started and finished this season. They should have no trouble moving the ball against Miami.
Baltimore could approach the 51.5-point total on its own, but I suspect its poor defense will allow Miami to do just enough to push things over the top.
The Dolphins scoring even a couple of touchdowns likely keeps the Ravens aggressive, so 40-plus from the favorite is well within the range of outcomes.
Plus, BetRivers is still sitting at an off-market line of 51.0, despite the rest of the industry adjusting further up with the Jackson news. I’ll take the over there.
Pick: Over 51 (-108)
Lamar Jackson Player Props: Rushing Yards
By Nick Galaida
Lamar Jackson is expected to return from an extended absence to play against the Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. Given that he’s returning from a hamstring injury, the market seems to be of the mindset that he won’t be running wild in his first game action since September.
However, Jackson is someone who has historically been unwilling to play unless he’s at (or very close to) 100% health. That is not a dig at Jackson – it’s simply a note that he probably wouldn’t be on the field against Miami if he didn’t feel confident in his ability to play his normal game.
Jackson had 70 rushing yards in Week 1, 35 rushing yards in Week 3 and 48 rushing yards in Week 4 before exiting early with an injury. This is great value on him to make an impact with his legs in this matchup.
Pick: Lamar Jackson Over 35.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Tua Tagovailoa Interception Prop Bet
By Derek Carty
THE BLITZ is forecasting 0.69 interceptions for Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa compared to 0.90 interceptions implied by the sportsbooks, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 63% of the time, resulting in a 39% ROI.
Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $38.67. This play is good down to at least -121.
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Under 0.5 Interceptions (+125; bet to -121)
Jaylen Waddle Props: Receiving Yards
By Brit Devine
Jaylen Waddle looks to be the focal point of the Dolphins' passing game without Tyreek Hill. Waddle has gone for 95+ yards in three of his four games since the Hill injury, with the lone miss being that wind/rain weather game in which Miami got beat down by the Browns.
There are no weather concerns at home tonight, and with a great coverage matchup for both Tua Tagovailoa and Waddle, this line looks far too low.
Tagovailoa has a 65% completion percentage against man coverage, which is the seventh-highest rate in the league against man — Baltimore has deployed man coverage at the league's third-highest rate this season.
The Ravens have also used single-high coverage at the fourth-highest rate; Waddle is 16th in yards per route run against this type of coverage (minimum 50 routes run).
Pick: Jaylen Waddle Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-125); Bet to Over 64.5
Malik Washington Anytime Touchdown Pick
These odds are far too high given Malik Washington's role in the offense.
Since Tyreek Hill went down, Washington has received steady value in the passing attack with 5+ targets every single game. He's been targeted heavily in the red zone with seven targets entering tonight.
The Ravens defense has shown up the last two games, but they have still been one of the worst in the league this season, allowing the fifth-most passing yards, 10th-most rushing yards and third-most points.
Lamar Jackson is back, which means the Ravens will likely put up a lot of points and force the Dolphins into a passing script.
I have the true odds for a Washington touchdown around +300.
Pick: Malik Washington Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+375)
