NFL Interceptions Props Week 3: Picks for Sam Darnold, Jalen Hurts

NFL Interceptions Props Week 3: Picks for Sam Darnold, Jalen Hurts article feature image
Credit:

(Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images) Pictured: Jalen Hurts.

Betting on quarterback ineptitude is one of my NFL guilty pleasures. I especially like back-breaking interceptions that completely flip the momentum of the game.

That’s why I’m diving headfirst into the quarterback interception market to identify key spots each week to cash in on quarterback miscues.

It’s worth noting that I track all interception props from each quarterback (Yes and No) and it’s been a huge windfall for bettors who choose to only bet on “YES” when they are plus-money (+100 or higher). In 2023, had you bet on every quarterback that was plus-money to throw an interception, you would’ve gone 87-91 for +17.2U. This was after it went 81-75 for +25.5U in 2022. So far in 2024, it’s 7-2 for +6.7 units.

In 2024, we’re seeing far fewer quarterbacks with plus odds to throw an interception with only nine heading into Week 3. This means we may need to consider “No” as an option or delve into minus odds.

Here are the quarterback interception props I like for Week 3.

Phone With the Action App Open
The must-have app for NFL bettors
The best NFL betting scoreboard
Free picks from proven pros
Live win probabilities for your bets

Header First Logo

Sam Darnold

To Throw Interception (-115)

Header Trailing Logo

This is too much respect for Vikings QB Sam Darnold. He’s thrown an interception in both Week 1 and Week 2 and had INT odds of -140 or higher. Now, he’s got the Texans coming to town and I’m seeing a -115 for a QB that has 58 career interceptions in 68 career games?

While I give credit to Darnold for being a competent passer through two weeks and reducing his bad-ball rate, his receiving corps is a bit too banged up for my liking. WR Jordan Addison hasn’t practiced and WR Justin Jefferson had to leave Week 2 with a thigh injury. That could lead to critical mistakes if Darnold is forced to rely on rookie WR Jalen Nailor or WR Brandon Powell.

The Texans defense has also been a force through two games with three interceptions, and they are third in NFL in total sacks. They’re also one of the top teams in coverage, with 10 passes defended through two games and an INT per dropback rate at 5.4%, ranked fourth in the NFL. They should be able to make Darnold turn it over.


Header First Logo

Jalen Hurts

To Throw Interception (-115)

Header Trailing Logo

I swear Eagles fans, this isn’t anything personal. The matchup is too good to overlook. The Eagles are back for their first true road game of the season when they head to New Orleans, and Hurts could be in trouble throwing the football.

The Saints defense has been a bit lucky through two weeks with interceptions but their closing speed to the ball can’t be ignored. The Saints lead the NFL in total passes defended (12) and a 5.5% interception rate per dropback. Add that in with ranking top five in total sacks and blitz rate and this could be a tough matchup for Hurts to get completions.

The Eagles will obviously lean on the run when possible, but the Saints have been a wall through two weeks with only one rushing TD allowed and a longest rush of eight yards total. This carries over from last year when the Saints ranked top five in rushing TDs allowed and interceptions forced.

Hurts' interception “prowess” also can’t be overstated, as he had 15 INTs last year, was the most-profitable QB for INT props in 2023 at +8.9U, and had an INT in six of nine road games. He’s also thrown a pick in 13 of his last 19 regular season games (68%) since the start of 2023. Based on implied odds, he should be closer to -200 if the 68% success rate continues.

With Eagles WR A.J. Brown expected to miss another week and the Saints top cornerback in Marshon Lattimore expected back for Week 3, I love this bet.

About the Author
Gilles Gallant is a sports betting expert at the Action Network, specializing in NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer props. A regular contributor to The Action Network Podcast and YouTube shows like Action Island and Bet What Happens Live, Gilles has been betting on the NFL since 2012 and honed his profitable strategy in 2018. With a background at Odds Shark and FTN Network, he’s known for his expertise in NFL and other sports markets like NBA and MLB. Gilles holds a degree in broadcast journalism from Nova Scotia Community College and is a Certified Sales Professional.​

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.