The New York Giants (1-3) and New Orleans Saints (0-4) meet in Week 5 on Sunday, October 5. Giants vs Saints kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Saints are 1.5-point favorites over the Giants on the spread (Saints -1.5), with the over/under set at 41 (-115o / -105u). New Orleans is a -126 moneyline favorite while New York is a +108 underdog.
Let's get into my Giants vs Saints predictions and the latest NFL odds, betting trends, start time and more.
Giants vs Saints Picks, Predictions
- Giants vs Saints pick: Saints -1.5 (-115)
My Saints vs. Giants best bet is on New Orleans to cover the spread. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Giants vs Saints Odds, Lines
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 41.5 -115o / -105u | +108 |
| Saints Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 41.5 -115o / -105u | -126 |
Giants vs Saints Preview, Prediction
At the time of writing, approximately 70% of betting tickets are backing the visiting Giants and Jaxson Dart in his second career NFL start.
Dart has sparked optimism in New York, but there are going to be several bumps in the road in the near future.
While this isn’t the most difficult of matchups for him against the Saints, I cannot get behind the Giants with a rookie quarterback making his first road start sans his best offensive weapon.
Losing Malik Nabers is crucial and will cause this Giants offense to become very run-heavy.
Dart is already feeling the effects of the bumps and bruises he’ll sustain in the NFL after just one game — he was hit nine times and took five sacks in his debut, on top of the 10 carries he provided in the running game.
The Giants will feature a heavy dose of Cam Skattebo once again, but the offensive line isn’t creating much running room for their skill players.
New York ranks 25th in adjusted line yards per carry and 25th in stuff rate, with 22% of rushes resulting in the running back getting tackled at or behind the line of scrimmage.
The Giants defense has been poor stopping the run this season. Opposing running backs are averaging 6.0 yards per carry against them through four games.
New York is 27th in adjusted line yards per rush and it has been abysmal in short-yardage situations.
When teams have had two or fewer yards to go on 3rd or 4th down, or are within two yards of the goal line, the Giants have allowed a 100% success rate to opposing ball carriers. They have yet to stop a single carry from converting against them in those crucial situations.
The Saints' rushing defense is not elite, but they have faced a very difficult slate of rushing attacks.
The Bills have the best rushing offense in the league, according to DVOA, so it’s not surprising the Saints struggled against them.
However, the Saints limited Kenneth Walker to just 2.4 yards per carry, in addition to 2.7 yards per rush to George Holani when New Orleans faced Seattle in Week 3.
In Week 2, Christian McCaffrey and Brian Robinson combined to average a modest 3.9 yards per rush, while James Conner gained just 3.3 yards per carry in Week 1.
When the Saints offense takes the field, they should have success running the football. They are starting to establish an effective mix with Alvin Kamara and Kendre Miller.
The Saints are 30th in neutral game script pass rate, meaning they are entirely committed to running when they aren’t trailing by a significant margin.
The loss of guard Cesar Ruiz may be a cause for concern for the Saints, but he was not playing his best football before suffering a high ankle sprain. Ruiz has graded out as the 67th best guard out of 73 qualifying players, according to Pro Football Focus.
The interior of the Saints line is bolstered by center Erik McCoy, one of the best in football, which should help in limiting the interior push from Giants defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence.
Giants vs Saints Best Bet, Pick
The 31st-ranked pass defense of the Saints (according to DVOA) is unlikely to be exploited by Jaxson Dart and company.
The matchup favors New Orleans here. Dare I say, the Saints have the advantage at quarterback in this game, as well.
Spencer Rattler is 18th in QBR and 15th in adjusted EPA/play this season.
The Saints should be able to claim their first win of the season on Sunday.
Giants vs Saints Best Bet: Saints -1.5 (-115)
Giants vs Saints Betting Trends
Giants vs Saints Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: | Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La. |
| Date: | Sunday, Oct. 5 |
| Time: | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | CBS |
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