The Miami Dolphins (6-7) and Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) will wrap up Week 15 of the NFL season with Monday Night Football tonight. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The game will broadcast live on ESPN.
The Steelers are 3-point favorites over the Dolphins on the spread (Steelers -3), with the over/under set at 42.5 total points. Pittsburgh is a -180 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Miami is +150 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Dolphins vs. Steelers predictions and NFL picks for Monday Night Football on December 15.
Dolphins vs Steelers Prediction, Picks
- Dolphins vs Steelers pick: Steelers First Half Spread -2.5 (-110)
My Steelers vs. Dolphins best bet is on Pittsburgh to cover the first half spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. However, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Dolphins vs Steelers Odds for Monday Night Football
| Dolphins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -102 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | +150 |
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -118 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | -180 |
Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Preview
The Steelers welcome the Dolphins into a harsh environment, with temperatures in the teens expected.
If you're into trends, Dolphins' quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has historically struggled mightily in the cold.
Entering this matchup, Tagovailoa is 0-5 when the temperature is below 40 degrees, 1-6 when it’s 45 or colder, 2-8 at 50 or below, and 4-13 under 55 degrees.
While he did notch a win against the Jets in 41-degree weather last week, this matchup in Pittsburgh represents a significant step up.
On the field, the Steelers should have a considerable edge when they have the ball.
The Dolphins rank 28th in yards per rush allowed and sit last in opponent completion percentage.
In this environment, the team that controls the trenches and the short passing game is likely to prevail.
That said, the Dolphins’ ground game can’t be dismissed. Led by De’Von Achane, Miami ranks third in the league in yards per rush.
Pittsburgh is vulnerable against the run, ranking 18th in yards per rush allowed and 28th in EPA per rush.
Even so, we should see the Steelers make a concerted effort to load the box and contain the run, especially given the harsh passing conditions.
Dolphins vs Steelers Betting Predictions, Analysis
This game has all the elements in which Pittsburgh thrives and Miami freezes up.
The market has come in support of Pittsburgh in this spot, as we’ve seen this spread rise throughout the week.
We should see them succeed early, being better equipped to handle the weather.
Having more avenues for offensive success will allow them to create separation in a game of methodical drives.
Back the Steelers to cover the first half spread.
Dolphins vs Steelers Best Bet
- Steelers First Half Spread -2.5 (-110)
Dolphins vs Steelers Betting Trends
For the latest on NFL injuries, be sure to check out our NFL Injury Report page.
