The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills square off at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., for Thursday Night Football on Sept. 18. Dolphins vs Bills, the first game of NFL Week 3, kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET; TNF will be broadcast on Prime Video.
For my Dolphins vs Bills anytime touchdown props, I'm targeting one player from each side: De'Von Achane and Josh Palmer.
Find my Dolphins vs Bills anytime touchdown picks for Thursday Night Football below.
Editor's Note: An anytime touchdown parlay is not the author's formal recommendation. These touchdown picks have value as straight bets.
Dolphins vs Bills Anytime Touchdown Props
- De'Von Achane Anytime Touchdown (+130, bet365)
- Josh Palmer Anytime Touchdown (+375, bet365)
Dolphins vs Bills Anytime Touchdown Preview, Picks
De'Von Achane Anytime Touchdown (+130)
This might seem chalky, but this might be the only Dolphins player we can trust.
Not only is he their lead running back, but Achane continues to be a major factor in the passing game. He leads Miami in targets per route run (TPRR) and has scored two receiving TDs this season, following a 6-TD season last year. Achane has scored a TD in 18-of-30 career regular-season games.
Achane has scored in all four career games against the Bills. With the Dolphins being huge, double-digit road underdogs and the Bills showing early struggles in stopping the run, I like Achane to get another TD.
Josh Palmer Anytime Touchdown (+375)
I wanted to take a wide receiver on the Bills' side. I know Palmer hasn’t been a huge fixture in the passing game, but I think this is one where he could be used a bit more.
Palmer leads the team in average depth of target (aDOT) and is playing in all 2-WR sets on the outside.
Through two weeks, the Dolphins are 31st in defensive DVOA against the pass and last against the deep ball. They will also be missing some key starters in the secondary.
Keon Coleman is below +200, but given Palmer’s snap rate, route participation and matchup, his TD odds shouldn’t be this much off a difference.
