The Rams (8-2) host the Buccaneers (6-4) tonight for Week 12 Sunday Night Football. Kickoff from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, Calif, is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. SNF will broadcast on NBC and Peacock.
Bucs vs Rams odds list the Rams as -355 moneyline favorites and Buccaneers as +285 underdogs. The game total is 49.5 points (-115o / -105u). The Rams are 7-point favorites on the spread (Rams -7; -115).
Below, you can find our Buccaneers vs Rams picks and Sunday Night Football best bets, which include predictions for the spread, over/under and props for Matthew Stafford (passing yards), Terrance Ferguson (longest reception) and Jordan Whittington (receiving yards).
Bucs vs Rams Props & Picks
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Bucs vs Rams Odds, Lines
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -105 | 49.5 -115o / -105u | +285 |
| LA Rams Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -115 | 49.5 -115o / -105u | -355 |
Sunday Night Football odds via BetMGM
Bucs vs Rams Spread Prediction
By Billy Ward
If you’re a reader of our NFL Luck Rankings, you should be even more impressed with the Rams' NFC-leading 8-2 record. That’s because they rank just 14th in luck while the other 8-2 team (Eagles) rank first.
The Rams are just that good, and they’re taking on a 6-4 Bucs team that we have ranked seventh in luck. Tampa is in first place in the NFC South despite just a +2 net-scoring differential on the season, a far cry from the Rams’ +100 mark.
The other side of that coin is that Tampa has dealt with tons of injuries, particularly at the skill positions.
The Buccaneers have played most of the season without Bucky Irving, Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. Godwin is expected to return tonight for Sunday Night Football but will likely be somewhat limited, and probably not make an immediate impact as he ramps back up from an extended absence.
That means Tampa will still be thin at the skill positions, a considerable problem against an elite Rams defense. Los Angeles has no such issue, with its offense clicking on all cylinders and Tampa profiling as an easier defensive matchup.
While Baker Mayfield heroics could keep this one reasonably close for a stretch, ultimately I expect the Rams to obtain and maintain a multiple-score lead, which means covering their -7 point spread, with the best line being -105 at BetMGM at the time of writing.
Pick: Rams -7 (-108)
Buccaneers vs Rams Over/Under Pick
The Bucccaneers rank outside the top 20 in both points per drive and yards per drive over their last five games.
Baker Mayfield has a season high of 188 catchable air yards this year after clearing that number in seven different games in 2024. The ceiling of this offense is quite low right now heading into a very difficult matchup in Los Angeles.
The Rams boast the league’s second-best defense in total DVOA and have the second-best red-zone defense as well. With Mayfield ranking 30th in yards per pass attempt since Week 7, I do not envision the Buccaneers doing their part to get this total over the oddsmakers' posted number.
If Tampa Bay is going to stay in this game, it will be because of its run defense. The Bucs rank seventh in rush defense DVOA and have the best rushing success rate against in the NFL.
This should force the Rams into several third downs at the very least, and that is the one area in which Matthew Stafford has not been stellar — the Rams are 17th in the league in third-down conversion rate.
This total is a point or two too high and I like the value on anything at or above 48.5.
Pick: Under 49.5; bet to Under 48.5
Matthew Stafford Player Props: Passing Yards
Matthew Stafford has a great spot tonight against a Buccaneers pass-funnel defense.
The Buccaneers have forced opponents to throw at a 60.3% clip, which ranks eighth in the league, and they have also allowed the sixth-most passing yards and 10th-fewest rushing yards per game.
Tampa has run zone coverage at the sixth-highest rate in the league, and Stafford ranks second in the NFL in yards per dropback vs. zone coverage.
Even with a 7-point spread, I expect this game to stay close since Baker Mayfield has a tendency to play in competitve shootouts. I have Stafford projected for 20 yards over this number.
Pick: Matthew Stafford Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Terrance Ferguson Props: Longest Reception
I was all over Terrance Ferguson props last week. It didn't go well as he didn't see a target in the Rams' win over the Seahawks.
But with Tyler Higbee landing on injured reserve with an ankle injury, Ferguson could see an uptick in snaps and targets.
This could be a breakout game for the rookie. I'm on his longest reception over 19.5 yards and also sprinkled longest reception over 29.5 (+475) at bet365.
Pick: Terrance Ferguson Longest Reception Over 19.5 (+170)
Jordan Whittington Props: Receiving Yards
Taking the under on a prop with a total of 11.5 receiving yards is always a little scary because we could lose this on just one reception.
However, I like our chances here with Jordan Whittington.
The Rams love to run two-tight-end sets, which often leaves Whittington on the sideline.
Over the last three games, he has only run a route on 36% of snaps and has caught one pass during that stretch. We know the targets are going to funnel to Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Kyren Williams and the tight ends.
Pick: Jordan Whittington Under 11.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
