Boston College vs. Florida State Same-Game Parlay, Picks
- Florida State Alt Spread -20.5 (+136)
- DJ Uiagalelei 2+ Passing Touchdowns (-158)
- Kye Robichaux 40+ Rushing Yards (-160)
- Roydell Williams 40+ Rushing Yards (-360)
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
We all saw what happened last week. Florida State — with a ton of high expectations — was embarrassed on national television with a loss to Georgia Tech in Ireland.
Head coach Mike Norvell described the loss as "sickening" and placed a lot of the blame on himself.
It certainly wasn't the FSU we're used to seeing. The Noles return home now, though, and take on Boston College — a team that nearly upset them last season.
It's Monday night's lone game, and I'll break down a four-leg same-game parlay that pays out to +558 odds.
Let's dive into the Boston College vs. Florida State same-game parlay I built using FanDuel.
Boston College vs. Florida State Odds
| Boston College Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+15.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 / -110 | +525 |
| Florida State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-15.5 -110 | 51.5 -110 / -110 | -750 |
Florida State Alt Spread -20.5 (+136)
A Week 0 test to start the season against Georgia Tech isn’t the easiest of tests. It looked like the Seminoles severely underestimated the Yellow Jackets.
Squaring off against a strong offense, a supposedly stout Florida State defense floundered and allowed its opponents to stomp all over it.
This week, it’s a bit of a different story, as Boston College heads into Tallahassee tonight. Last season, the Eagles gave the Seminoles a tough task in Chestnut Hill, only for the Noles to come out on top, 31-29.
I just can’t see a similar situation happening though. While the 2023 record says that BC went 7-6, the underlying numbers were abhorrent — especially on the defensive end.
Let’s break down the numbers, shall we?
- 82nd in Defensive Success Rate
- 110th in Explosiveness
- 123rd in Havoc
You can see why I’m bearish on this program. The Eagles may have shown up last season and nearly pulled off the upset, but there’s nothing to get excited about here.
They brought in Bill O'Brien as head coach, and he's about as average as they come. He was unspectacular in the NFL, and Alabama fans were counting down the days until he was removed as its offensive coordinator.
The lines call for Florida State to be a -16.5 favorite, but I’m willing to go further than that to get even better odds. FSU -20.5 at +136 seems more than reasonable to me — especially with the Seminoles looking to take some anger out on a lesser opponent.
DJ Uiagalelei 2+ Passing Touchdowns (-158)
Uiagalelei was the target of a whole lot of memes after the Seminoles fell to Georgia Tech in Dublin last week.
The Oregon State transfer has a lot to prove tonight in that his latest performance was just an aberration. He neglected to throw any touchdown passes last week, but I have a feeling the senior will bounce back.
It didn’t feel like the “real” Uiagalelei was allowed to be himself throughout the game. He started to show his true colors during a fourth-quarter drive, but why didn’t we see that version the whole time?
After returning from across the pond, Norvell stated that he’s looking for his team to be more explosive, and there’s every reason to believe it will be.
The entire offensive line has stayed put, with the exception of guard Richie Leonard IV. Florida State’s line ranked 49th in the FBS in 2023 and allowed a sack percentage of just 5.4%.
Uiagalelei will have ample amount of time to find his perfect target, and he has plenty of options to throw to. Both Malik Benson and Ja'khi Douglas are capable of creating separation and generating explosive plays.
Boston College was also dreadful defensively in ‘23, ranking 105th in Passing Defense Success Rate and 115th in Explosiveness allowed. It’s perfect timing for Uiagalelei to get his groove back.
Kye Robichaux 40+ Rushing Yards (-160)
If there was one thing that Boston College did well last season, it was running the ball.
The Eagles were among the best in college football pounding the rock, ranking 40th in Success Rate but 16th in PPA and 19th in explosiveness. Additionally, they opted to run more often than not, ranking 15th in rushing rate.
A lot of that has to do with quarterback Thomas Castellanos, who rushed for over 1,200 yards last season. However, I’d argue that senior running back Kye Robichaux has plenty to say about that. Robichaux ran for 780 yards, averaging 4.8 yards per carry.
In eight of his 11 games played in 2023, Robichaux registered at least 40 rushing yards, including 64 against Florida State.
Who’s to say that won’t happen again? At -140, I can absolutely see Robichaux reaching the 40-yard threshold.
Roydell Williams 40+ Rushing Yards (-360)
From the looks of it, Florida State is using a running back committee with both Roydell Williams and Lawrance Toafili.
Williams has never had a chance to be the lead back, even dating back to his time in Alabama, but he’s always a threat to rack up yards. He averaged five yards per carry in ‘23 and rushed for 40-plus yards six times, which isn't too bad for a second-stringer.
Based on what we saw in Dublin, I’d venture to say that Williams is going to get more carries than Toafili. Georgia Tech did a solid job stopping the run, but both backs still managed to find the end zone.
This week will be a different look for Williams, though.
Boston College is nowhere near Tech’s level and — surprise, surprise — does a poor job at stopping the run. The Eagles ranked 69th in Defensive Rushing Success Rate, 83rd in PPA and 110th in explosiveness a season ago.
When deciding between Toafili and Williams, I tend to lean toward Williams — and the books seem to agree. They list him at -350, while Toafili comes in at -154.
I'll go the safer route here.
