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Yale vs Cornell Spread, Over/Under: Saturday’s High-Level Pick

Yale vs Cornell Spread, Over/Under: Saturday’s High-Level Pick article feature image
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The Yale Bulldogs mascot. Credit: Matt Stamey-Imagn Images

Action PRO Projections fuel a best bet for Yale vs. Cornell in Saturday's early-morning hoops matchups.

Bulldogs vs. Big Red Saturday in the Ivy League tournament popped in our advanced dashboard as a solid bet. Tip-off is at 11:00 a.m. ET in Newman Arena (Ithaca), with Yale listed as a 3.5-point favorite and a total of 164.5.

Yale (23-5) has been the stronger team overall, while Cornell (15-12) has been boom-or-bust. Both prior meetings this season went under the total. Yale blew out Cornell in the first matchup and Cornell pulled an upset in the most-recent meeting.

Here's how projections line up for Saturday's tilt, along with the pick to make.


Yale vs Cornell Spread, Over/Under: Saturday's High-Level Pick

PRO Projections' models peg Yale a bit stronger than the market (Yale -5), so there’s a very slight edge on the spread for bettors who prefer a side play.

The better value play, however, is the over/under.

The market total of 164.5 opened roughly 7 points below PRO’s true total. Projections’ fair opening total released north of 170 (171.2), with the system providing a positive edge on the over.

Cornell in particular profiles as an “over” recipe: top-40 in pace (No. 35) and bottom-25 in opponent FG%. Late-season conference tournaments also bump up the desperation for underdogs, and if Cornell is in fouling mode down the stretch, Yale knocks down better than 76% from the stripe.

These two already combined for a 170-point outing earlier in the season, and an early-morning track meet is the way to pick Saturday's game if using Action PRO