The Purdue Boilermakers take on the Maryland Terrapins in College Park, Maryland. Tip-off is set for 1 p.m. ET on CBS.
Purdue is favored by 14.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -1200. The total is set at 150.5 points.
Here’s my Purdue vs. Maryland prediction and college basketball picks for February 1, 2026.
Purdue vs Maryland Prediction
My Pick: Maryland +14.5
My Purdue vs Maryland best bet is on the Terrapins to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Purdue vs. Maryland Odds
| Purdue Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14.5 -105 | 150.5 -110o / -110u | -1200 |
| Maryland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14.5 -115 | 150.5 -110o / -110u | +750 |
- Purdue vs Maryland spread: Purdue -14.5
- Purdue vs Maryland over/under: 150.5 points
- Purdue vs Maryland moneyline: Purdue -1200, Maryland +750
Purdue vs Maryland College Basketball Betting Preview
Purdue Basketball
Purdue heads back home to West Lafayette with a three-game losing streak in hand. The Boilermakers are now 17-4 overall and 7-3 in conference play, but they're double-digit favorites on the road.
The Boilermakers' defense really fell off a cliff during the losing skid, surrendering 1.18 PPP to UCLA, 1.39 PPP to Illinois and 1.17 PPP to Indiana.
That's part of the concern with running a two-big lineup. The rebounding is great, but if teams can pick-and-pop, it'll force Oscar Cluff to defend on the arc, and that stings them.
Purdue sits No. 30 in defensive efficiency, per KenPom. The Boilermakers have two stud bigs in Cluff and Trey Kaufman-Renn, but their 2-point field goal percentage ranks 196th.
Opponents tend to let it fly from deep against Purdue, as it allows 46% of its shots from beyond the arc. The shots fall at a 32% clip, which ranks 115th nationally. That could lead to some ebbs and flows for Purdue's defense, and we've seen the ebbs lately.
The DNA of this Purdue team is its offense. It ranks second nationally in offensive efficiency, as it shoot 38% from deep and 57% from inside the arc. Purdue's biggest strength is crashing the glass, recording a 35% offensive rebound rate. Kaufman-Renn and Cluff grab a bunch of rebounds to keep possessions rolling and get clean looks at the hoop.
Of course, Braden Smith is the heart and soul of this Purdue team. He leads the Boilers with 15 points per game and the country with over nine assists. Finding a way to contain Smith will be paramount for Maryland.
Maryland Basketball
It's been a debut season to forget for Buzz Williams at Maryland. The Terrapins are 8-12 overall and 1-7 in Big Ten play with almost a 50-point loss to Michigan State in their last game.
Maryland is 140th in offensive efficiency and 118th in defensive efficiency, per KenPom, so there's nothing that'll blow you away about the Terps.
The style of this Maryland team is all about shooting 3s. The Terrapins shoot 3s at a 46% rate, but they aren't a good shooting team, hitting 32% of the time.
David Coit is the best player on this Maryland roster. He already has a 43-point game and a 30-point game during league play. Coit isn't the world's most efficient player, but when he gets rolling, he can keep Maryland in games.
Coach Williams will need a steady performance from his veteran bigs, Solomon Washington and Elijah Saunders. Washington is 6-foot-7, 220 pounds, so he's undersized compared to Cluff, but he's a monster defender.
Meanwhile, Saunders is shooting over 40% from deep. I expect Saunders to serve as a pick-and-pop threat against Purdue's less agile bigs.
Defending the Purdue bigs will be an issue for Maryland, as teams shoot 54% against the Terps from inside the arc. Cluff and Kaufman-Renn will likely thrive against Maryland's smaller interior.
Purdue vs. Maryland Betting Analysis
It's not pretty to roll with Maryland — and it's one win in Big Ten play — to cover against Purdue, but I'm doing it.
Here's why: The Terps are good enough on the glass (189th in defensive rebounding rate) to limit Purdue from bullying them on the boards. No, 189th isn't great, but it could be worse for this matchup.
It'll likely boil down to shooting if Maryland can cover. And I think the Terps have enough offensive weapons to keep the game close enough.
My Pick: Maryland +14.5
