The Arizona State Sun Devils take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs in Spokane, WA. Tip-off is set for 5:00 PM on ESPN.
In this particular matchup, the Bulldogs are favored by 18.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -5000. The total is also set at 158.5.
Here are my Arizona State vs. Gonzaga predictions and college basketball picks for November 10, 2024.
Arizona State vs Gonzaga Prediction
My Pick: Gonzaga -19.5
MyArizona State vs. Gonzaga best bet is on the Bulldogs spread, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Arizona State vs Gonzaga Odds, Lines, Pick
| Arizona St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+23 -110 | 157 -110o / -110u | +1550 |
| Gonzaga Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-23 -110 | 157 -108o / -112u | -4000 |
- Arizona State vs. Gonzaga spread: Gonzaga -23
- Arizona State vs. Gonzaga over/under: 157 points
- Arizona State vs. Gonzaga moneyline: Gonzaga -4000, Arizona State +1550
- Arizona State vs. Gonzaga best bet: Gonzaga -19.5
Arizona State vs Gonzaga College Basketball Betting Preview
Arizona State Basketball
Arizona State began its season in a rather inauspicious fashion by losing to Duke in an exhibition — by a lot of points before narrowly beating a mediocre Idaho State team in the regular season opener.
The positive? Arizona State bounced back with an impressive win over Santa Clara two nights ago as 4.5-point underdogs in Vegas.
The formula for the Sun Devils is becoming less blurry — Alston Mason, Adam Miller and BJ Freeman contributing leads to wins. The staple of Bobby Hurley's tenure in Tempe is guard play, so the veteran guards scoring is a considerable X-Factor.
Freeman scored 17 points in ASU's win over Santa Clara and averaged 20 ppg at Milwaukee last year. Miller scored 16 points two nights ago, which is huge since he scored just three in ASU's offensive struggle against Idaho State.
Through two games, Arizona State is shooting 3s on 55% of their offensive possessions. Shooting 3s more than half the time isn't sustainable, but where will ASU's volume level out?
No team under Hurley has attempted 3s more than 40% of the time since 2018. Perhaps the guard-heavy lineup with two willing shooting bigs (Basheer Jihad and Jayden Quaintance) means ASU's shooting volume is real. We'll see if it works, but it feels like the team's DNA so far.
Their defense also looks strong, ranking 35th nationally in defensive efficiency with 1.06 PPP against Santa Clara and 0.73 PPP against Idaho State.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs will pose a different challenge to ASU's defense. Just ask Baylor.
Gonzaga Basketball
The Bulldogs took firm position of the best offense in KenPom's rankings after dropping 103 points with an elite 1.44 PPP versus Baylor on Monday.
The most impressive part about the Gonzaga beatdown was the scoring balance — seven players scored nine-plus points and nobody scored more than 17 points. That must bring tears of joy to Gonzaga fans who saw a rotation with seven players a season ago.
Ryan Nembhard had a field day against Baylor, posting 11 assists with just two turnovers. He's the ideal point guard in Mark Few's system, which has had tremendous floor generals over the years. He isn't a score-first guard who searches for points, but he'll set up guards Khalif Battle, Nolan Hickman, and stud center Graham Ike for baskets.
Ike is the difference-maker in this one. He's arguably the best player in the West Coast Conference, and he'll look to give Quaintance a first "welcome to college hoops" moment. Ike scored 15 points in 22 minutes versus Norchad Omier and Baylor.
I can't find many reasons not to love Gonzaga. It plays a very exciting brand of basketball with quick pace, shooting, and elite guard play with an All-American level player in Ike. This team is legitimately one of the best teams in college hoops, and I can't pinpoint any real concerns.
Gonzaga vs Arizona State Betting Analysis
KenPom's numbers indicate there's value in backing Arizona State since his model gives the Zags a 16-point edge rather than 18.5 points.
I can't back ASU in this spot, though. I don't believe in the Sun Devils shooting, nor do I see them competing in an up-and-down tempo game, which is Gonzaga's specialty.
Gonzaga won't just take a big lead and let up. They'll step on a team's throat and run up the score. I think we'll see a 20+ point win in the Zags' favor as ASU's offense struggles in the half-court.
