The Golden State Warriors (12-6) and Phoenix Suns (10-8) will meet in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9 p.m. ET from the Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Suns are 2.5-point favorites over the Warriors on the spread (Suns -2.5), with the over/under set at 233 total points. Phoenix is a -140 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Golden State is +120 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Suns vs Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, November 30.
Warriors vs. Suns Prediction, Pick
Spread
The sharp side changed overnight. We detected sharp money coming in on the Suns to cover the spread late Friday night, which pivoted to sharps putting money down on Warriors +2.5.
Ultimately, this is a stay-away for me, given the amount of "questionables" we have on the injury report. That list includes, most of all, Stephen Curry, as well as Bradley Beal, Jusuf Nurkic and Andrew Wiggins. Meanwhile, Jonathan Kuminga and Gary Payton II are listed as probable to play.
Moneyline
Same here, I'm not particularly interested given the injury questions. Mainly to Curry. Though, I'd admittedly be more interested in Phoenix at the moment, if anyone. Ultimately, I don't expect to play either side of the moneyline.
Over/Under
This total opened at 228.5 and got played up to 233.5. I'm taking a slight under here, as well as my guy Matt Moore, who logged this in the Action App.
It could be daunting given the uncertainty regarding who is actually playing. Plus, you have the Suns, who have played to just seven unders in 18 games and the Warriors, who have eight unders in 18 games.
But the Warriors defense is still fourth in the NBA, and that could drive the pulse of this contest, given that the Suns have been unsteady as of late, highlighted by a 127-117 home loss to the Nets on Wednesday.
The Warriors are 12-6, but they enter tonight's matchup following losses in three straight, and they've combined with their opponent for less than 233.5 points in in five of their last six. Admittedly, this is more of a lean.
My Pick: Under 233
Warriors vs. Suns Odds, Point Spread, Total, Lines
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -110 | 233 -110 / -110 | +120 |
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 233 -110 / -110 | -140 |
- Warriors vs Suns spread: Suns -2.5
- Warriors vs Suns over/under: 233 points
- Warriors vs Suns moneyline: Suns -140, Suns +120
- Warriors vs Suns best bet: Under 233
Warriors vs. Suns NBA Preview
My favorite prop in the game is a perhaps a Vegas favorite over the last 17 years: Kevin Durant over 23.5 points, which I hit at BetMGM.
Durant has a good matchup here despite Golden State's defensive profile, led by Draymond Green. KD has also cleared 23.5 points (and scored at least 25 or more) in eight of his 11 games this season.
If Beal is out, this number will likely rise, and in many books, this is already at 24.5, so grab it while you can. The Slim Reaper returned from a 7-game absence on November 26 and immediately scored 23 against the Lakers, followed by 30 against Brooklyn the next day.
You don't see guys returning into a back-to-back often in the modern NBA, but ultimately, the major point is that he's in good form, and in terms of efficiency, he shot under 47 percent only once this entire season. I'm playing KD's over tonight.
Warriors vs. Suns Prediction
I'm not sure I'm parlaying Durant's over with the under, given I like KD's prop a good deal more. That said, if you parlay the two together, it comes out to +242 at BetMGM.
Inevitably, because I like KD's prop more, we'll probably hit the under and he lands at 23 points, which would be annoying.
Best Bet: Under 233 (-110)
Same Game Parlay: Under 233, Kevin Durant Over 23.5 Points (+242)
