The opening round of the NBA playoffs comes to a close this Sunday, as two key "do or die" Game 7s take center stage today — and our NBA betting expert Joe Dellera has identified his top player prop pick for tonight's matchup between the Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavaliers.
Let's break down our top Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 7 player prop for Evan Mobley on Sunday, May 3.
Raptors vs Cavaliers Player Prop Bet for Game 7
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Joe Dellera's Raptors vs. Cavaliers Player Prop Bet
Evan Mobley Over 25.5 Points & Rebounds (-118)
In a winner-take-all Game 7, rotations typically shrink to the point of exhaustion, and for the Cavaliers, that means leaning on Evan Mobley a ton in the frontcourt.
As we’ve seen throughout this series, Jarrett Allen’s role has continued to tighten due to a combination of injury management and the Raptors' commitment to small-ball lineups. That leaves Mobley as the lone anchor of the interior, and the results have been undeniable.
We saw the ceiling for this role in Game 6, where Mobley exploded for 40 PR in 41 minutes. While critics might point out that those numbers were inflated by an overtime period, the sheer volume of his usage wasn't a fluke—it was intentional.
Without Allen clogging the paint alongside him, Mobley has the freedom to dominate the glass and the space to capitalize on high-percentage put-backs.
Mobley is a beast when he plays big minutes. He has recorded over 24.5 PR in 65% of games where he plays 30+ minutes.
In a Game 7 environment, 30 minutes is likely his floor. If we look at games where he clears the 35-minute mark, that hit rate jumps to a staggering 72%.
Against a Toronto team that wants to play fast and versatile, Mobley’s length and mobility are key for Cleveland. The Cavs simply cannot afford to have him off the floor for long stretches.
Between the defensive rebounding opportunities created by Toronto’s perimeter attack and his own offensive involvement, the counting stats should be there for Mobley in Game 7 tonight.
Pick: Evan Mobley Over 25.5 Points & Rebounds (-118)
