The NBA regular season continues with an excellent 7-game slate on Friday, March 6.
Our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest NBA odds and identified NBA best bets for all seven of today's contests.
Continue below for our NBA best bets, expert picks, and predictions for Friday, March 6.
NBA Best Bets, Picks, Predictions: Friday, March 6
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 9 p.m. | |
  | 9 p.m. | |
  | 9:30 p.m. | |
  | 10:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Mavericks vs. Celtics
By Joe Dellera
The Celtics face off against the Mavericks tonight, and Jayson Tatum is expected to make his season debut for Boston in this game.
Tatum is coming back from an Achilles injury and there has been a ton of commentary about how he will mesh back into this squad that is currently positioned second in the Eastern Conference standings.
I expect him to defer a bit and ease his way back in. Tatum is already a solid distributor, averaging around 5.5 assists per game over the last few seasons.
Here, I’d expect about 20 minutes from Tatum, and maybe even running the bench unit a bit.
However, from a team chemistry standpoint, I can see him working to set his teammates up and passing the rock.
Dallas allows the sixth-most assists per game this season, so this is a great spot as well.
Pick: Jayson Tatum Over 1.5 Assists (-120)
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Heat vs. Hornets
LaMelo Ball has gone over 6.5 assists in six of his last seven games overall, and in five straight matchups against Miami.
This is a better, healthier Hornets team than the squad Miami saw back in October, where Ball had 20-9-8, but Brandon Miller had already been injured, it was only the fourth game of the year, and Moussa Diabate was coming off the bench.
People try to sidestep Ball in favor of praising the shiny new toy in Kon Knueppel or the emerging young star in Miller, but Ball still makes this thing go because of his playmaking.
Even now, he has a 44 assist percentage, which is the highest of his career and ranks second in the NBA. Averaging 12.0 potential assists makes for a decent floor for a point guard engineering the NBA's best offense of 2026.
Pick: LaMelo Ball Over 6.5 Assists (-140)
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Trail Blazers vs. Rockets
Action PRO is projecting 7.74 points for Robert Williams in the Trail Blazers' matchup against the Rockets tonight, showing a massive 21.9% edge against his current prop line of over/under 5.5, which is strong enough to tag the Over with an A+ grade in our database.
After missing a few months with a knee injury, Williams has gradually began to reclaim his role in the Blazers' rotation over the last few weeks, having returned to the lineup only seven games ago, while playing 15 minutes or less in his first four outings.
However, since returning in mid-February, Williams has scored 5+ points in five-of-seven games — and he's finally starting to hit the ground running now, as he enters tonight's contest having scored 14+ points in two of his last three games, while playing 17+ minutes in all three games; and playing 23+ minutes in two of them.
Pick: Robert Williams Over 5.5 Points (-130)
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Pelicans vs. Suns
By Bet Labs
This NBA spread betting system identifies value in conference games where favorites are struggling but still favored by the market.
When a team has recently underperformed yet remains favored, it suggests the betting line reflects long term strength rather than short term results.
These situations often create buying opportunities on quality teams that are due for positive regression after a rough stretch.
Facing familiar conference opponents adds familiarity and stability to performance expectations, while moderate spreads and balanced totals keep volatility in check.
This approach capitalizes on the overreaction to recent form, betting on strong teams to rebound once market sentiment has dipped too far against them.
Pick: Suns -4.5 (-110)
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Knicks vs. Nuggets
Jalen Brunson cooks Denver; he just does.
He had 42-and-9 against them last month — the game went to double overtime, but still.
In in two games against the Nuggets last season, he had 30-and-15 and 23-and-17.
The return of Aaron Gordon will help Denver's defense, but not enough on Brunson, and not immediately in this first game back, especially with an expected minutes restriction.
Pick: Jalen Brunson Over 33.5 Points & Assists (-115)
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Clippers vs. Spurs
Action PRO is projecting 5.0 rebounds for Kris Dunn in the Clippers' matchup against the Spurs tonight, presenting a solid 13.2% edge against his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to mark the Over as a B+ grade in our database.
This one is pretty simple.
Dunn has recorded 5+ rebounds in six of his last seven games, while reaching 6+ rebounds in four of those contests; and 7+ rebounds in two of them.
We'll back him to record 5+ Rebounds at plus-money tonight, and you could also consider sprinkling 6+ Rebounds at +200.
Pick: Kris Dunn Over 4.5 Rebounds (+120)
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Pacers vs. Lakers
By Bet Labs
This NBA spread betting system identifies teams that have hit rock bottom both straight up and against the spread, creating prime value opportunities once the market overreacts.
When a team has failed to win or cover in several consecutive games, public sentiment collapses, and oddsmakers are forced to inflate the line to balance action.
This setup often produces spreads that no longer reflect the true gap in performance or motivation between teams.
Historically, struggling teams in short home or road stretches tend to deliver sharper focus and urgency, especially when undervalued by perception.
Betting on these teams after an extended cold streak takes advantage of market inefficiency and the natural tendency for performance to regress toward the mean once expectations reach their lowest point.
Pick: Pacers +8.5 (-110)
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