The Miami Heat (20-17) and Indiana Pacers (7-31) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The Heat are 7.5-point favorites over the Pacers on the spread (Heat -7.5), with the over/under set at 234.5 total points. Miami is a -298 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Indiana is +240 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Heat vs. Pacers predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, January 10.
Heat vs Pacers Prediction
- Heat vs Pacers pick: Heat -7.5 (-115)
My Pacers vs Heat best bet is on the Heat to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Heat vs Pacers Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -115 | 234.5 -115o / -105u | -298 |
| Pacers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -105 | 234.5 -115o / -105u | +240 |
Heat vs Pacers NBA Preview
On Thursday, the Heat vs Bulls game was postponed due to condensation on the court in Chicago following a Blackhawks NHL game on Wednesday.
That gave Miami an unexpected day off and an extended rest for tonight's matchup against the Pacers.
This key factor triggered our Bet Labs "Well Rested Road Teams in New Year" system, which recommends backing the Heat against the spread on Saturday.
The Pacers have been awful, and even their homecourt advantage hasn't helped them, as they have a 5-15 record at Gainbridge Fieldhouse this season.
These teams met recently, on December 27, and the Heat thrashed the Pacers 142-116, so with additional rest for this game, you can confidently back them to cover tonight.
Heat vs Pacers Prediction, Betting Analysis
This NBA system focuses on identifying well-rested road teams performing during the early months of the calendar year when fatigue and scheduling imbalances often affect results.
It isolates games played in the regular season where the visiting team has had at least four days off, giving them time to recover and prepare, while their opponent has had minimal rest of just two days.
This rest advantage can make a measurable difference late in long road trips or in the grind of the winter schedule, especially in January through March when player fatigue is common.
The system captures how rested visiting teams often come out sharper and more efficient against hosts with tighter turnarounds, leading to consistent value when backing these teams against the spread.
Pick: Heat -7.5 (-115, DraftKings)
