Red Sox vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2023

Red Sox at Orioles

11:15 pm • FOX

Boston Red Sox

1-2

2 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9
K.Crawford			4.04	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 0-0	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

September 30, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Featured Insight
Red Sox have struck out just 22% since last season -- tied for 10th-lowest in MLB. Orioles have a strikeout rate of just 22% since last season -- ninth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles hitters are slugging .400 versus relief pitchers since last season -- ninth-best in MLB. Red SoxRPs have allowed a SLG of .404 since last season -- eighth-worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 33-46 (.418) after a loss this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.

The Orioles are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 24-18 (.571) after a win as underdogs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.

Justin Turner is slugging just .211 over the last two weeks -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. John Means has allowed a SLG of just .185 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela is slugging just .211 over the last two weeks -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. John Means has allowed a SLG of just .185 vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- seventh best among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .327 (111 Total Bases / 339 ABs) with two-strikes this season -- tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .260 -- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .204 (69-for-339) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes this season -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 -- eighth Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strikeout rate of 56% (14 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes -- 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- 87th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford's lowest spin rate on fastballs since last season is 2052.0 RPM -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 1215.5

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	BOS	L 0-3	-	-	-
Sep 28th	BOS	W 2-0	-	-	-
Sep 27th	WSH	W 5-1	-	-	-
Sep 26th	WSH	W 1-0	-	-	-
Sep 24th	@CLE	W 5-1	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	76	6	7	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	26	1	2	2
RM. Llovera, P	29	1	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	0-3	0	0
1P.Reyes, PH	2-2	1	0
1P.Reyes, 2B	2-2	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	2-5	0	0
3J.Turner, 1B	2-4	1	0
4M.Yoshida, DH	3-5	0	1
5A.Duvall, CF	2-5	0	0
5A.Duvall, RF	2-5	0	0
6W.Abreu, LF	0-3	0	0
7T.Story, SS	1-4	0	1
8E.Valdez, 2B	1-2	0	0
8C.Rafaela, PH	0-2	0	0
8C.Rafaela, CF	0-2	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	1-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	80	5	4	0
LB.Zimmermann, P	28	2	2	0
RJ.Flaherty, P	27	1	2	1
RJ.Webb, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0
1G.Henderson, 3B	1-4	1	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-3	0	0
2J.Mateo, PR	0-1	2	1
2J.Mateo, SS	0-1	2	1
3A.Santander, DH	1-4	0	2
4R.O'Hearn, RF	0-4	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	1	1
5J.McCann, C	0-1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0
6H.Kjerstad, LF	1-1	0	1
7A. Hicks, LF	0-3	0	0
7A. Hicks, CF	0-3	0	0
8R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0
8R.Urias, 1B	0-3	0	0
9A.Frazier, 2B	1-2	0	0
9J.Westburg, 2B	1-1	1	0