Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 17, 2023
Marlins at Cardinals
11:45 pm • BSMWStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.78 | 9-13 | |
 |  | 3.63 | 10-9 |
Marlins at Cardinals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Marlins 0-0 | -1.5+152 | o8.5+100 | -112 | |
Cardinals 0-0 | +1.5-175 | u8.5-120 | -105 | |
Busch StadiumSt. Louis
Marlins vs. Cardinals Expert Picks
Tanner McGrath
485d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
MIA -110
0.55u
Go Fish
Charlie DiSturco
485d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
W.Contreras o1.5 Total Bases+135
0.5u
W.Contreras o0.5 HR+450
0.1u
Jim Sannes
485d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (+10.8u)
MIA +100
1u
Available at FanDuel. It's a tough matchup for Jesus Luzardo with so many lefty-mashers, but he looks up to the test. In 19 starts, Luzardo has a 29.1% strikeout rate with a 3.38 SIERA. He isn't great with batted-ball suppression, but I wouldn't call it a weakness, either. He's facing Miles Mikolas, who is durable enough to bounce back after a rain-shortened outing Friday, but he projects to let up a ton of balls in play here. The Marlins' offense is gross, but the Cardinals' has also underperformed this year, especially against lefties. They may be due for regression, but the sample is pretty large at this point, and their wRC+ is still 106. I have the Marlins' win odds at 53.5%, up from 50.0% implied.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Previews & Analysis
Marlins vs. Cardinals Notes
Keys to the Game
The Cardinals are 9-6 (.600) after a win as underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Matchup Contrasts
Nick Fortes has an OPS of just .541 this season -- sixth worst among hitters with at least 136 total PA's-- first Percentile. Felix Bautista has allowed an OPS of just .433 (171 PAs) this season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Paul Goldschmidt is batting .299 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 11th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Josiah Gray has thrown a breaking pitch 51% of the time this season -- eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (53/332) against Miles Mikolas this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .244 (55-for-225) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .166 -- first Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Marlins vs. Cardinals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Cardinals vs. Marlins Injury Updates
Cardinals Injuries
- Sonny GrayP
Gray is out with arm
Out
- Willson ContrerasC
Contreras is out with finger
Out
- Drew RomP
Rom is out with biceps
Out
Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Marlins vs. Cardinals Box Score
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 92 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Cardinals Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 92 | 6 | 3 | 3 | |
 | 18 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 17 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds Comparison
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Marlins at Cardinals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Marlins 0-0 | N/A | N/A |
Cardinals 0-0 | N/A | N/A |