Sean Koerner

Caleb has cleared 280+ passing yards in back-to-back games, so I think his market is a bit inflated here because of it. This is a matchup against the Giants, who are more of a run funnel, where I expect Chicago to lean on the run more.. especially with Kyle Monangai looking great last week in his first start. I’m simply expecting his volume to be down in this spot. This was a prop I had circled to dig into during my Fri/Sat projection sweep, but with the weather forecast looking ugly and both Odunze and Moore banged up and limited in practice, I wanted to lock it in early at this number. I’m projecting him closer to 220 yards with around a 60% chance to stay under 232.5. A lot can change before kickoff, but most of that uncertainty points toward this line dropping once I run my full process later in the week.