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Nick Giffen's Picks
Today
Divisional Round TC: Stroud/JSN/Harvey+22500
0.02u
36
Divisional Round TC: Stroud/Nacua/Walker III+22500
0.02u
36
Divisional Round TC: Stroud/JSN/K. Williams+25000
0.02u
32
Divisional Round TC: Stroud/JSN/Corum+30000
0.02u
35
Divisional Round TC: Stroud/Nacua/Charbonnet+30000
0.02u
34
Divisional Round TC: Stroud/Nacua/Harvey+30000
0.02u
35
Most Passing Yards - Divisional Round: C.J. Stroud+900
0.2u
51
Divisional Hypothetical: HOU +1.5 vs. NE-105
1.05u
At FanDuel under Divisional Hypotheticals
17
Pending
Lowest Scoring Team (Regular Season): NY Jets+900
1u
3rd lowest Expected Score last year
4th largest O-line downgrade (-$30m AAV per 4for4)
Jets opposing D's spent most $ of all 32 schedules
Fields/Tyrod not upgrades/likely downgrades & will run more w/Fields eating clock
5th unluckiest set of opponents from last year (opponents regression to better results)
Tankapalooza
51
Blake Corum Longest Rush over 12.5 yards (-120 at BetMGM, fine with over 13.5 -108 at FD or -110 at 365)
Last week I talked about fading Corum in this market, especially without RG Kevin Dotson who is a much better run blocker than his backup, Justin Dedich.
Now that the Rams are likely to get Dotson back, we should be looking back toward Corum's over. Getting Dotson back is huge for his yards per carry, since Corum gets the plurality of his runs to the right side. Any run to the right of middle now has a better shot to get busted for a big gain, and that's especially true against a putrid Bears run defense that ranks 28th in rush DVOA.
Corum's median longest rush per game since his role increased twelve games ago is exactly 12.5 yards, but we'd certainly expect this to be a spot he goes over that given the matchup and expected return of Dotson.
Tracking at 13.5 since only MGM has 12.5 at the time I'm tracking
142
B.Corum Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260
LA
17
17
CHI
0.75u
OT 5:50
Action Playbook LIVE TD Show
150
LA -3.5-110
LA
17
17
CHI
0.55u
OT 5:50
Luck Rankings C Grade
61
LA o26.5-125
LA
17
17
CHI
0.5u
OT 5:50
99
LA o29.5+142
LA
17
17
CHI
0.25u
OT 5:50
55
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 2-2-0 | 50% | 0.31u |
| Last 7 Days | 12-24-0 | 33% | -1.65u |
| Last 30 Days | 33-86-1 | 28% | -12.57u |
| All Time | 1287-2555-22 | 33% | 283.73u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 538-849-11 | 38% | 107.13u |
| NCAAB | 426-357-8 | 54% | 103.10u |
| NASCAR | 254-1195-2 | 18% | 52.62u |
| NHL | 3-1-0 | 75% | 3.57u |
| World Cup | 13-26-0 | 33% | 1.18u |
| FORMULA_ONE | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.50u |
| NASCAR_XFINITY | 0-1-0 | 0% | -0.50u |
| Women's World Cup | 1-4-0 | 20% | -0.95u |
| MLB | 2-4-0 | 33% | -1.71u |
| European Championship | 17-49-1 | 25% | -3.47u |
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Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
I bet on my favorite driver Kyle Kirkwood at 20-1 to win the Long Beach Grand Prix. I went to the race and watched him win it in person for his first career IndyCar win. It was the first time I watched him race an IndyCar in person, so I'm officially his good luck charm.
Specialties
- NASCAR Expert
- NFL Luck Rankings
- NCAAB Player Props