Reds vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 6, 2024

Reds at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

4 - 6

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			3.47	12-6
F.Cruz			4.86	3-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-149	o8-112	+143
Mets 7-6	-1.5+124	u8-109	-170

Friday 11:10 p.m.

September 06, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

F.Lindor o1.5 Total Bases+100

Under 7.5+100

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs left-handed batters this season -- tied for highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP this season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Mets are 41-9 (.820) when they've had 10 or more hits this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .751.

The Reds are just 3-54 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

34% of Tyler Stephenson strikeouts are looking this season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 43% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Will Benson has struck out in 39% of PA's this season -- highest among hitters with at least 210 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 42% (181/432) against Fernando Cruz since the 2022 season -- 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (113/325) against Sean Manaea this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- fourth Percentile.

Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 66% (121 SO in 184 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season -- best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 4th	BOS	W 8-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -120
Sep 3rd	BOS	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -130
Sep 2nd	BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM -117
Sep 1st	@CWS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -182
Aug 31st	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -196

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Cruz, P	20	1	3	2
LB.Williamson, P	60	4.2	1	1
RB.Farmer, P	14	0.1	1	1
RE.Pagan, P	20	1	2	0
RT.Santillan, P	12	1	2	0
RA.Diaz, P	12	1	1	0
LJ.Wilson, P	8	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1	2
3T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-3	1	0	0
5T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Friedl, CF	1-4	1	1	2
7S.Espinal, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Rosario, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	97	6.2	9	4
RR.Garrett, P	16	1.1	3	0
RE.Diaz, P	14	1	3	0
RJ.Butto, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3M.Vientos, 3B	3-5	2	2	4
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5J.Winker, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Iglesias, PH	1-2	1	0	1
5J.Iglesias, 2B	1-2	1	0	1
6J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7S.Marte, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8H.Bader, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	0-0	0	0	0