Taken on HardRock This is for the 1st game with Skubal pitching for the Tigers Skubal is on the mound, and the Tigers are at home, where they are 25-11. They will face Heaney and the Pirates, who are an abysmal 10-26 on the road this year. Heaney is 3-5 with a 3.33 ERA this season, and being a LHP only feeds into this matchup. The Tigers hold the best average vs LHP this season, batting .272 as a lineup. The Tigers also have the 4th most hits, 4th most HRs, and the 2nd most extra base hits vs LHP this season. On the mound, Skubal draws a great matchup vs a PIT team that ranks bottom 5 in most hitting metrics and ranks top 3 in K% this season vs LHP. As long as Skubal gets the run support, which he usually does, going 7-2 this year with the Tigers covering the spread in 6 of his 7 wins. I'm backing the potential Cy Young winner at home today.

Using the 50% Boost they have on DK today for this, best line without the boost is on Novig -104 D-backs haven't been much of a K target vs RHP this season, but over the last month, they have been striking out at the 8th highest rate in baseball to righties. Gausman has looked a little wild at times with his control as he is clearly working through something with his grip, but the guy just knows how to rack up Ks. He is over this line in 9/14 games this season and in 5/6 at home (5 straight). I like him for 6 and I agree with Leibo that we could see 7/8 out of him today.