If our predictive betting models are anywhere close to the NFL touchdown picks released last Thursday Night Football, we're in for another treat.
Admittedly, there was no value on Week 11 touchdown picks for Washington vs. Philadelphia early in the week. However, after the latest odds update, our cutting-edge TD predictor shows an anytime touchdown scorer for Commanders vs. Eagles worth a bet!
The Action Analytics Team runs a comprehensive system factoring in everything from price, probability, route running participation and more.
After stacking up our odds to score to the market, check out our Thursday Night Football touchdown prediction for Commanders vs. Eagles.
NFL Touchdown Odds for Thursday Night Football: Commanders vs Eagles Pick
Here's how the best touchdown picks from our PRO models make the cut.
Let's say a player is +400 to score a touchdown. At +400 odds, the market implies a 20% chance to score.
If Action PRO Projections predict that same player to score 26% of the time, the edge is 6%. Or, our 26% chance implies a fair price of more like +284. We recommend taking a 3.5% edge or better if only tailing PRO Projections.