The Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the Kansas Jayhawks in Lawrence, Kansas. Tip-off is set for 4 p.m. ET on CBS.
Kansas is favored by 14.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -1350. The total is set at 149.5 points.
Here are my Oklahoma State vs. Kansas predictions and college basketball picks for February 22, 2025.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas Prediction
My Pick: PASS · Lean Kansas ATS
My Oklahoma State vs Kansas best bet is on the Jayhawks spread, with the best odds currently available at DraftKings. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas Odds
| Oklahoma State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14.5 -112 | 149.5 -115o / -105u | +800 |
| Kansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14.5 -108 | 149.5 -115o / -105u | -1350 |
- Oklahoma State vs Kansas spread: Kansas -14.5
- Oklahoma State vs Kansas over/under: 149.5 points
- Oklahoma State vs Kansas moneyline: Kansas -1350, Oklahoma State +800
- Oklahoma State vs Kansas best bet: PASS · Lean Kansas ATS
Spread
I'm passing on the game altogether. But I'd lay the points with Kansas if I had to pick a side.
Moneyline
I'm passing on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm passing on the over/under.
My Pick: PASS · Lean Kansas ATS
Oklahoma State vs Kansas College Basketball Betting Preview
The situational spot screams Kansas.
The Jayhawks are due for a big bounce-back win, as they're returning home after getting swept at altitude on their Utah road trip, including a blowout 34-point loss to BYU.
They also play lowly Oklahoma State, which is due for a letdown performance after dropping 104 points in a nine-point victory against UCF on Wednesday.
Oklahoma State’s offense is rather gross, as the Pokes lack any spacing or shooting and rely heavily on transition buckets off turnovers, post-up buckets from Abou Ousmane and Marchelus Avery or trips to the free throw line.
Ultimately, they’re among the nation’s most rim-reliant offenses (25 FGA per game, 80th percentile, per Synergy) but also among the least efficient (1.06 PPP, seventh percentile, per Synergy).
Kansas doesn’t grade out well in overall post-up defense. However, Hunter Dickinson is still elite at defending those sets (.59 PPP allowed, 88th percentile, per Synergy), and the Jayhawks are an elite rim-denial defense behind him and KJ Adams Jr.
Plus, they never foul, leading the Big 12 in free throw rate allowed (26%, per KenPom).
That said, I’m very worried about the Jayhawks’ transition defense. They’ve turned the ball over at least 12 times in nine of their past 11 games, including over 15 times thrice.
Point guard Dajuan Harris Jr. — a typically steady ball-handler — has turned it over nearly 21% of the time over his past eight games.
And the Jayhawks have gotten burned on the resulting run-outs, with BYU (1.05 PPP), Utah (1.75 PPP), Cincinnati (1.63 PPP) and Baylor (1.33 PPP) all shredding in the open court.
Kansas has an excellent matchup if it can avoid turnovers, as the Jayhawks could prevent the transition issue altogether and exploit Oklahoma State’s weak interior.
The Pokes’ aggressive, extended defense works when they generate turnovers, but they sacrifice rim protection in the process (1.24 at-the-rim PPP allowed, eighth percentile, per Synergy). They often get ripped apart by cuts, rolls and post-up sets, a potentially scary thought against Dickinson and Adams.
That said, I’m uncertain if Kansas will avoid those turnovers and play solid transition-denial defense.
I’m inclined to think the Jayhawks will, especially given the excellent situational spot, which is why I ultimately lean their way.
But given my uncertainty, I’ll pass on the game altogether.
