Heat vs. 76ers Odds, Picks, Predictions: Monday NBA System Matches Spread
Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Pat Riley
Heat vs. 76ers Odds
| Heat Odds | -4.5 |
| 76ers Odds | +4.5 |
| Over/Under | 214.5 |
| Time | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBA League Pass |
| Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here. | |
There's a 59% successful historically-profitable betting angle that fits the parameters for Monday night's game between the No. 1 and No. 3 seeds in the Eastern Conference. This betting trend has had a 15% return on investment since 2005.
It's actually on a 15-game winning streak and is 11-0 during the 2021-22 NBA season.
In addition, sharp and big money bettors are aligned. One of The Action Network's premier NBA experts is also picking this side to cover the spread.
Read further to see what the system is, the theory behind it and how to incorporate it for this 7:30 p.m. ET tipoff.
Heat vs. 76ers System
This betting system targets road teams that have had three or more days of rest and are playing against a tired squad.
The home opponent must be coming off of a back-to-back. In addition, the opponent needs to have played four games over the last seven days — meaning that tonight is their fifth game in seven days.
The 76ers have done just that. They played last night in a hard fought loss to the Toronto Raptors and also played on Friday night.
The game in question must also occur after the New Year because rest becomes more vital later on in the season.
All of these parameters fit the Heat's spread on Monday night. It's been three days since Miami has suited up. Meanwhile, the 76ers are tired.
The system has won 15 straight, as you can see below.
15-0 Betting Trend Since 2021
| Game | Rest Days | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Pacers (+1.5) v. Spurs | 4 | Pacers by 11 (W) |
| Kings (+9.5) v. Jazz | 3 | Kings lose by 9 (W) |
| Grizzlies (-3.5) v. Pelicans | 3 | Grizzlies by 12 (W) |
| Bucks (-10.5) v. Blazers | 4 | Bucks by 29 (W) |
| Grizzlies (-4.5) v. Spurs | 3 | Grizzlies by 8 (W) |
| Kings (+8) v. Bucks | 3 | Kings lose by 6 (W) |
| Suns (-2) v. Mavs | 3 | Suns by 8 (W) |
| Jazz (-5.5) v. Nuggets | 4 | Jazz by 22 (W) |
| Magic (+6.5) v. Wizards | 3 | Magic lose by 6 (W) |
| 76ers (-10) v. Rockets | 3 | 76ers by 20 (W) |
| Warriors (+5) v. Jazz | 4 | Warriors by 7 (W) |
| Bucks (-10) v. TWolves | 3 | Bucks by 25 (W) |
| Cavaliers (+3) v. Hornets | 3 | Cavs by 13 (W) |
| Thunder (+16.5) v. Jazz | 3 | OKC lose by 10 (W) |
| Cavaliers (-4) v. Thunder | 3 | Cavs by 27 (W) |
Keep in mind that sharp and big money bettors — alongside one of our top NBA handicappers — are also taking the Heat to cover, but started to do so when Miami opened as just -1.5 favorites. That line has since moved to roughly -4.5 across the market.
Moreover, this system has a 15% return on investment over a lengthy sample size, but it applies to about eight to nine NBA games per year.
In order to maximize your 15% ROI, make sure to follow through whenever this system provides picks for the rest of the season.
Sharp Angle: Heat -4.5 or better
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