Propbetguy
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D.Clingan o12.5 Pts-118
SDSU
@CONN
1.18u
03/28 11:39 PM
Minutes are going to keep creeping up, as they have been despite UConn blowing out teams in the first two rounds. But he’s averaging 16.2 pts per 28 mins this season, and over in 7/L10 with just 20+ mins.
Tough team matchup, but SDSU is a stronger perimeter defense than inside. And in the MWC, they didn’t really face a skilled big man with this much size. In non conference play, both Ike and Saxen cleared their points props against them. LeDee is a bull but will struggle to defend Clingan who has 5 inches on him.
97
17
Pending
T.Murphy o5.5 Rebs+110
MIL
@NOP
1u
03/29 12:00 AM
Averaging 5.8 rebounds per 30.8 minutes in March - and has cleared this line in 12/L16. Upside to play big minutes (39 last game) with no Ingram/Daniels, in a game where the Pels are looking to cement playoff seeding (only 1.5 games better than the play-in right now). Should have an advantageous rebounding spot with Zion/JoVal/Nance locked in on the Bucks big men.
105
19
M.Domask u16.5 Pts-125
ILL
@ISU
1.25u
03/29 2:09 AM
Really tough spot for Domask. He’s not really a threat from the outside - 71% of his FGA and 58% of his points are via the two pointer. He only shot 29.8% from deep, and only attempted 3.6 3Ps per game. Iowa State is elite defensively (1st per KenPom), but especially so inside the arc. They rank 50th in 2P% (47.2%), 10th in opp % of points via 2P (43.6%), and 9th in opp 2P rate (55%). Couple that with the fact that they play slow (206th in pace), and Illinois is implied at 73 pts (averaged 84 in conference). As is, Domask is under this line in 9/L14 games - I like him to be more of a distributor to Illinois’ better perimeter shooters (Shannon, Hawkins, Goode, Guerrier).
78
12
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