Chelsea and Fluminense will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.
Let's get into our Chelsea vs. Fluminense prediction.
Chelsea is favored at a -145 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+100o / -145u) goals.
Chelsea vs. Fluminense Odds for Club World Cup
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-0.5 -160 | 2.5 100o / -145u | -145 |
| Fluminense Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+0.5 +110 | 2.5 100o / -145u | +425 |
Chelsea vs. Fluminense Club World Cup Betting Analysis
Our in-house model, BETSiE, forecasts Fluminense to record 0.52xG whilst assigning them just a 12.21% chance of reaching the final. The Blues continue to have odds in their favor, but the Flu are already used to playing from the underdog position.
With a team that is over 10 times more expensive, the English side sits at 1.70 / -143, implying a win probability of 58.8%. However, the Fluzão faced worse odds in their 2-0 win over Inter.
The Blues scored 12 goals from a total of 8.7 xG but now face a tough test. Flu has the second-best defensive record in the competition, conceding only 0.6 goals per match. This illustrates the diverse styles and approaches as two worlds collide for a spot in the finals.
This won’t be about market value or squad depth. Chelsea might have the deeper squad and fresher legs, but Fluminense carries something that doesn’t show in the spreadsheets and stats. Can they find the star factor that has already toppled European giants and come up with another surprise win?
