Brewers vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - May 11, 2022

MIL @ CIN

4:35 pm • YouTube

Milwaukee Brewers

26-18

11 - 14

Cincinnati Reds

19-26

pitcher		team	era	w-l
V.Gutierrez			7.61	1-6
A.Houser			4.73	6-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 26-18	-1.5-130	o9.5-105	-200
Reds 19-26	+1.5+109	u9.5-115	+170

Wednesday 4:35 p.m.

May 11, 2022

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Betting Algorithm Edges for 2 MLB Games on Wednesday
Avery Yang•
May 11, 2022 UTC

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Kyle Farmer is slugging just .294 on fastballs this season -- ninth worst in MLB -- ninth Percentile. Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 65% of the time this season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP -- 95th Percentile.

Willy Adames is slugging .667 on non-fastballs down this season -- second best in MLB -- 98th Percentile. Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed a SLG of .586 on low non-fastballs this season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .274 (82-for-299) against Adrian Houser in non-two strike counts since the start of last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .333 -- 100th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has an average spin rate of 2368.6 RPM on fastballs this season -- 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 2200.2 -- 87th Percentile.

Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed an OBP of .431 (225 PA's) versus the top of the order since the start of last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: .329 -- second Percentile.

Vladimir Gutierrez has allowed a slugging percentage of .586 (17 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .286 -- first Percentile.

MIL

CIN

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date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	MIL	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +175
May 9th	MIL	W 10-5	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CIN +157
May 8th	PIT	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8	CIN -138
May 7th	PIT	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT +111
May 7th	PIT	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +105

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 15-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Reds' 22 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	25-20	10-12	15-8	11-9	14-11
Brewers	25-19	11-10	14-9	10-12	15-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	22-21-2	10-10-2	12-11	11-8-1	11-13-1
Brewers	27-17	14-7	13-10	12-10	15-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	19-26	9-13	10-13	10-10	9-16
Brewers	26-18	12-9	14-9	13-9	13-9

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
DL Hall
P
Hall is out with knee
Out
Garrett Mitchell
OF
Mitchell is out with finger
Out
Joey Wiemer
OF
Wiemer is out with knee
Out

Jonathan India
IF
Jonathan India has been scratched Wednesday.
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	90	4	3	3
LH.Milner, P	12	1	0	1
LB.Suter, P	5	1	0	0
RJ. Mejía, P	32	1.1	0	5
RL. Perdomo, P	9	0.2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K. Wong, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2M. Brosseau, PH	1-1	1	1	2
3C.Yelich, DH	4-5	2	1	3
4R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
5L.Urias, 3B	1-5	1	0	1
6H.Renfroe, RF	2-5	2	2	2
7O.Narvaez, C	2-4	0	0	1
8L. Cain, CF	1-5	1	0	0
9J. Peterson, LF	1-4	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RV.Gutierrez, P	87	4.2	6	4
RA.Diaz, P	16	1.1	2	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	28	2	1	1
RD.Moreta, P	17	0	0	5
RJ. Kuhnel, P	14	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	3-4	3	0	0
2B.Drury, 2B	0-2	2	0	0
3T.Pham, LF	3-4	2	0	2
4M. Moustakas, 3B	1-5	1	0	1
5T.Stephenson, DH	3-5	2	0	4
6C. Moran, 1B	2-4	3	1	3
7T. Naquin, RF	2-4	0	0	3
8K.Farmer, SS	0-3	1	0	1
9A. Garcia, C	0-4	0	0	0

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MatchupOverUnder
Brewers 26-18	N/A	N/A
Reds 19-26	N/A	N/A

MIL @ CIN

Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds

Brewers vs. Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Betting Algorithm Edges for 2 MLB Games on Wednesday

Matchup Contrasts

Today's Starting Pitchers

Brewers

Public

Reds

Bets%

Money%

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Brewers Injuries

Brandon Woodruff

DL Hall

Garrett Mitchell

Joey Wiemer

Reds Injuries

Jonathan India

Matt McLain

Brandon Williamson

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Brewers vs. Reds Team Totals