Mets vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 10, 2025

Mets at Orioles

4:05 pm • MASN

New York Mets

53-39

1 - 0

Baltimore Orioles

40-50

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 53-39	-1.5	-1.5+117	o9.5-103	-144
Orioles 40-50	u9	+1.5-142	u9.5-112	+122

Thursday 4:05 p.m.

July 10, 2025

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases-110

1.1u

NYM -138

1.38u

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases-110

1.1u

Over 9.5-105

1.05u

NYM -140

Read the full writeup on X: @PicksOffice

NYM -135

1.35u

NYM -136

1.36u

NYM -136

1.36u

Over 8.5-158

NYM -125 (F5)

Over 9-123

BAL +1.5-135

BAL +125

Under 5.5 (F5)-125

0.5u

David Peterson gets a good matchup on paper against an Orioles team that has ranked among the bottom-five in baseball this season against LHP. They have a team wRC+ of just 76 against southpaws, meaning they've produced runs at a way below-average clip. They also rank dead last in team ISO against LHP, and that doesn't bode well against Peterson who has allowed just a 0.62 HR/9 ratio this season. The sweaty part of this bet will be the Charlie Morton side against the Mets. Morton has shown signs of decline this season as his swinging strike rate is the lowest it's been since the 2017 season, but his underlying metrics suggest he hasn't been as bad as his surface stats appear. He has a 5.47 ERA but a 4.33 xERA, and a 4.43 FIP but a 4.09 xFIP. This is obviously a scary spot against the Mets' power hitters, but I'm projecting this closer to 5 runs in the F5.

NYM -128 (F5)

1.28u

Over 9-109

0.55u

Bet to 9.5 (-105)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 22-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Orioles' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	37-53	15-27	22-26	15-30	20-23
Mets	45-47	25-22	20-25	29-35	16-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	39-48-3	23-17-2	16-31-1	22-21-2	16-26-1
Mets	42-49-1	22-24-1	20-25	33-30-1	9-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	40-50	19-23	21-27	20-25	18-25
Mets	53-39	33-14	20-25	42-22	11-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 8th	NYM	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 10	NYM +104
Jul 6th	@ATL	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +128
Jul 5th	@ATL	W 9-6	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +130
Jul 4th	@ATL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +154
Jul 3rd	@TEX	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +133

Starling Marte
LF
Marte is out with knee
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kodai Senga
SP
Senga is out with hamstring
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Jorge Mateo
SS
Mateo is out with hamstring
Out
Zach Eflin
SP
Eflin is out with back
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Adley Rutschman
C
Rutschman is out with oblique
Out
Cade Povich
SP
Povich is out with hip
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P		90	7	6	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Soto, RF	0-3	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Winker, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Vientos, PH	2-3	0	0	0
5M.Vientos, DH	2-3	0	0	0
6R.Mauricio, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6L.Acuna, 2B	-
7L.Torrens, C	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
9T.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P		104	6	4	1
LG.Wolfram, P		29	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Holliday, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2J.Westburg, DH	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Laureano, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4T.O'Neill, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5R.Urias, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, CF	1-3	0	0	0
7L.Vazquez, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Mayo, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	1-2	0	0	0