Mets vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 10, 2025

Mets at Orioles

4:05 pm • MASN
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Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Charlie Morton logoC.MortonBaltimore Orioles logo5.475-7
David Peterson logoD.PetersonNew York Mets logo3.186-4

Mets at Orioles Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets
53-39
-1.5
-1.5+115
o9.5-110
-139
Orioles
40-50
u9
+1.5-140
u9.5-110
+115
location pinThursday 4:05 p.m.
July 10, 2025
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
thermometer image83°Fahrenheit
rain image18%Rain
wind image5Wind
Mets vs. Orioles Expert Picks
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 74-90-3 (-0.4u)
Over 9.5-105
1.05u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 84-76-2 (+7.9u)
NYM -140
1u
Read the full writeup on X: @PicksOffice
Bet Labs
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 41-37-1 (-0.4u)
NYM -135
1.35u
Lines at Lunch
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 82-90-4 (-14.6u)
NYM -136
1.36u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 29-27-2 (+3.8u)
NYM -136
1.36u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 113-111-1 (+5.4u)
NYM -125 (F5)
1u
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 57-70-2 (-12.0u)
Over 8.5-158
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 81-68-1 (-2.8u)
Over 9-123
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 64-55-1 (+30.3u)
BAL +1.5-135
3u
BAL +125
3u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 53-39-1 (+2.5u)
Under 5.5 (F5)-125
0.5u
David Peterson gets a good matchup on paper against an Orioles team that has ranked among the bottom-five in baseball this season against LHP. They have a team wRC+ of just 76 against southpaws, meaning they've produced runs at a way below-average clip. They also rank dead last in team ISO against LHP, and that doesn't bode well against Peterson who has allowed just a 0.62 HR/9 ratio this season. The sweaty part of this bet will be the Charlie Morton side against the Mets. Morton has shown signs of decline this season as his swinging strike rate is the lowest it's been since the 2017 season, but his underlying metrics suggest he hasn't been as bad as his surface stats appear. He has a 5.47 ERA but a 4.33 xERA, and a 4.43 FIP but a 4.09 xFIP. This is obviously a scary spot against the Mets' power hitters, but I'm projecting this closer to 5 runs in the F5.
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 115-142-6 (+36.3u)
NYM -128 (F5)
1.28u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 164-137-8 (+15.1u)
Over 9-109
0.55u
Bet to 9.5 (-105)

Mets vs. Orioles Previews & Analysis

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    Thursday's MLB Best Bets

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    Jul 10, 2025 UTC
  • Zerillo's 3 MLB Picks for Thursday article feature image

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mets vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Mets

Public

75%

Bets%

25%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
37-5315-2722-2615-3020-23
Mets
45-4725-2220-2529-3516-12

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Orioles
39-48-323-17-216-31-122-21-216-26-1
Mets
42-49-122-24-120-2533-30-19-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Orioles
40-5019-2321-2720-2518-25
Mets
53-3933-1420-2542-2211-17

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 8thNYML 6-7+1.5 WO 10NYM +104
Jul 6th@ATLW 2-1+1.5 WU 8.5BAL +128
Jul 5th@ATLW 9-6+1.5 WO 9BAL +130
Jul 4th@ATLW 3-2+1.5 WU 8.5BAL +154
Jul 3rd@TEXL 0-6+1.5 LU 8TEX +133

Mets vs. Orioles Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Starling Marte
    LF

    Marte is out with knee

    Out

  • Sean Manaea
    SP

    Manaea is out with oblique

    Out

  • Griffin Canning
    SP

    Canning is out with achilles

    Out

  • Jose Siri
    CF

    Siri is out with leg

    Out

  • Nick Madrigal
    3B

    Madrigal is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tylor Megill
    SP

    Megill is out with elbow

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    SP

    Scott is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Kodai Senga
    SP

    Senga is out with hamstring

    Out

Orioles Injuries

  • Albert Suarez
    RP

    Suarez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jorge Mateo
    SS

    Mateo is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Zach Eflin
    SP

    Eflin is out with back

    Out

  • Kyle Bradish
    SP

    Bradish is out with elbow

    Out

  • Grayson Rodriguez
    SP

    Rodriguez is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Wells
    SP

    Wells is out with elbow

    Out

  • Adley Rutschman
    C

    Rutschman is out with oblique

    Out

  • Cade Povich
    SP

    Povich is out with hip

    Out

Mets vs. Orioles Starting Lineups
Mets Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
David Peterson logoLD.Peterson, P6-43.181.2747.68
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Brandon Nimmo logo1B.Nimmo, LF.258.318.47318
Francisco Lindor logo2F.Lindor, SS.260.331.45718
Juan Soto logo3J.Soto, RF.269.399.50921
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B.290.383.55121
Jesse Winker logo5J.Winker, DH.232.313.4061
Ronny Mauricio logo6R.Mauricio, 3B.244.311.4274
Luis Torrens logo7L.Torrens, C.210.285.3152
Brett Baty logo8B.Baty, 2B.233.285.4199
Tyrone Taylor logo9T.Taylor, CF.208.265.3052
Orioles Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Charlie Morton logoRC.Morton, P5-75.471.5529.77
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Jackson Holliday logo1J.Holliday, 2B.263.313.42512
Jordan Westburg logo2J.Westburg, DH.248.304.4779
Ramon Laureano logo3R.Laureano, LF.273.344.50010
Tyler O'Neill logo4T.O'Neill, RF.187.283.3413
Ramon Urias logo5R.Urias, 3B.255.307.3806
Colton Cowser logo6C.Cowser, CF.227.287.4878
Luis Vazquez logo7L.Vazquez, SS.111.111.1110
Coby Mayo logo8C.Mayo, 1B.211.268.3161
Jacob Stallings logo9J.Stallings, C.167.231.2500

Mets vs. Orioles Odds Comparison

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Mets at Orioles Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mets
53-39
N/A
N/A
Orioles
40-50
N/A
N/A