Latest NBA Betting Picks

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Realize this isn’t for the faint of heart and the “Cunningham good, me bet over” crowd will be out to get me if he gets 10+ but I’m still projecting this closer to -130. Pray for me

Tobias avg. 21.0 PPG in the three meetings vs ORL, and has the upside to be Detroit's 2nd-best player this series. The scheme explains why. Orlando mixes switch, blitz, and drop with Wendell Carter as the switch anchor, which means when Cade runs pick-and-roll, Duren is monitored inside the paint, and the weak-side forward defender gets pulled into help. That leaves Harris, who will act as the face-up 4, matched on a smaller recovering defender in the exact space he wants. Paolo has been the defender when they're cross-matched, and Harris has been hunting that assignment all year after the old-man comments in March. The 13.5 is priced like Orlando's perimeter pressure on Cade will suppress the whole roster, but their coverage structurally feeds the exact shot profile Harris takes; back-down, isolation, short pull-ups, weak-side swing threes, recovery closeouts. Add in that he's drawing the primary Paulo assignment so minutes are locked 28-32, it's a home Game 1,. #PlayerProps @everyone