Latest NBA Betting Picks
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 8-5-0 (+2.4u)
J.Randle o3.5 Ast-120
SAS
109
114
MIN
1.2u
FINAL 5/10
Home game for the Wolves as they look to tie the series 2-2. Randle drove the ball 19 times in Game 3 despite foul trouble, well above his 12.0 series average, and he generated 33 passes and 10 field goal attempts for his teammates going 0-7 on potential. The conversion was the problem, not the volume. His teammates went 0 of 10 on shots created off his passes, including 0/4 from McDaniels, who's shooting 22 percent on the series.
Finch said it himself postgame: "That's not on him. That's on us. We gotta make some shots for him." Across three games, Randle's pass recipients have shot 20 percent on the 30 FGAs he's created. That's well below league norms, and a regression candidate, especially with McDaniels' career FG sitting at 47 percent and Edwards spotting up off Randle drives more in Game 4.
Ayo is now in the rotation, more offense and McDaniels' shooting has to regress at some point, and he's the #1 recipient of Randle passes. Shannon's been the most efficient finisher on Randle passes at 33 percent, and Finch admitted he will play him more. If even two of these levers fire and pass conversion climbs to 25 percent, Randle clears 4 assists. The volume is already there. The bet is essentially betting on teammate shooting regression to mean. #PlayerProps @everyone
Mike McNamara
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-0.5u)
MIN +155
SAS
109
114
MIN
0.19u
FINAL 5/10
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 15-19-0 (-3.4u)
MIN +5.5-116
SAS
109
114
MIN
1.72u
FINAL 5/10
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 37-34-0 (+0.4u)
Under 256.5 (Live)-125
NYK
144
114
PHI
1.25u
FINAL 5/10
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 15-19-0 (-3.4u)
T.Shannon o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
SAS
109
114
MIN
1.15u
FINAL 5/10
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 37-34-0 (+0.4u)
Under 256.5 (Live)-120
NYK
144
114
PHI
1.2u
FINAL 5/10
Under 256.5 (Live)-120
NYK
144
114
PHI
1.2u
FINAL 5/10
Under 252.5 (Live)-122
NYK
144
114
PHI
1.22u
FINAL 5/10
Under 250.5 (Live)-121
NYK
144
114
PHI
1.21u
FINAL 5/10
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 20-16-0 (+4.5u)
PHI +20.5 (Live)-105
NYK
144
114
PHI
1u
FINAL 5/10
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