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Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Stephens has only cleared this in 5 of 13 games, but an even closer look at why I’m showing value makes me like this even more. Since the Jets traded away Sauce Gardner, Stephens has cleared this once in the 6 games without Sauce. That makes sense, as we’ve seen the rate teams target Stephens drop. When Sauce was on the field, teams would typically shy away from him and throw at Stephens at a higher rate. Without Sauce, Stephens isn’t being funneled targets, especially since he’s been playing at a higher level stepping up without him. Stephens has also faced a very good schedule for a CB to rack up tackles, but the Jaguars have offered the 5th fewest tackle opportunities to opposing CBs, making this his 3rd toughest matchup of the season. He mixes in on the occasional run play, but ETN/Tuten tend to run inside at a higher rate, making it less likely for Stephens to be involved. I’m also projecting the Jets to face around 2.5 fewer rush attempts in this game, which further limits his chances. I’m projecting this closer to 3.9 with around a 62% chance he stays under 4.5. PrizePicks is still offering the Rivers Under 0.5 rush att prop and can pair it with this

📚Bracco

MNF pick for Action Network pod. Pitt bottom 5 fantasy pts vs TE. Since Week 9, Dulcich 47% snaps, 2.6/31 on 3.6 targets, 18+ yards in all five games and 40+ in two of them.

MNF pick for Action Network pod. Pitt has allowed 90+ to rb1 in 4/5 and entire D front is banged up. Achane last 3 healthy games: 22/174, 21/120, 22/134.