Latest Betting Picks

#RLM

This is a pretty big game for both teams. Neither team has really picked up a signature win yet, but this would be a huge one in the Eastern Conference race. Despite their recent rough stretch, I have the Knicks rated 2.4 points better than the 76ers. The Knicks are coming off the biggest win in franchise history, beating the Nets by 50, and it felt like the turning point they needed. They were playing uninspired basketball until a players only meeting sparked the best 48 minutes of basketball I’ve seen from this team in years. I think they carry that momentum into this game in Philly. This is also a double revenge spot for the Knicks after losing twice to the 76ers earlier this season. I promise you this Knicks team will be up for this game. I’m also ready to fade a 76ers team that simply isn’t that good and has been pretty lucky this year. Shot Quality is very low on this Philadelphia team. They rate the 76ers as just the 24th best team overall, with the 22nd adjusted offensive shot quality and 25th adjusted defensive shot quality. That’s a pretty concerning profile for a supposed top team in the East. Shot Quality has them as a losing team (21–22) compared to their actual 24-19 record. The 76ers have poor spacing offensively and often fall into isolation basketball. They haven’t been good around the rim or from deep, and they need Tyrese Maxey to be nearly perfect to compete with the best teams in the league. The Knicks do struggle guarding the three, but Philadelphia is only 15th in three point percentage. In both wins over the Knicks this season, Shot Quality data actually had New York coming out on top. Yes, the Knicks have struggled on the road, but the 76ers haven’t been great at home either, sitting at just 12-12. This is also a very short travel spot for New York. Before any line was released, our model had the Knicks winning 124.06 to 115.12, for a fair spread of Knicks -8.94. I’ll gladly take the generous odds we’re getting here.