From casinos to real estate to media, Trump has never exactly avoided industries where attention, revenue, and spectacle tend to pile up in the same place. So his move into prediction markets feels less like a curveball and more like the next obvious lane, and he’s not stepping into it alone.
Through Truth Predict, Trump Media is bringing prediction-market trading into Truth Social with help from Crypto.com. The plan is to let users follow real-world questions across politics, economics, commodities, sports, and crypto, then trade on the outcome inside the social media platform.
Truth Predict is arriving at a pretty loaded moment for the space, with competitors such as Kalshi and Polymarket already dominating. On top of that, the industry already has a lot of heat around who’s building it, who’s backing it, and who stands to benefit.
As for the product itself, this is still more of a launch watch than a live review. Trump Media announced Truth Predict in October 2025 without a firm public launch date, so the branding is ahead of the rollout. There’s also no verified Truth Predict promo code, referral code, or welcome offer to list right now.
Here’s what else you need to know.
Truth Predict Promo Code for Prediction Markets Trading
While you wait for Truth Predict to go live, trade with the help of the Polymarket promo code or Kalshi promo code instead.
As of April 2026, Truth Predict remains in its testing phase. And there's no official promo code required to access the limited beta features.
Because the platform is built into the existing Truth Social ecosystem, users can likely expect integrated rewards rather than a traditional sportsbook-style code. But we wouldn't be surprised if Truth Predict tries to compete with the top dogs by rolling out promo codes.
If a formal welcome offer is released, we highly recommend you use Action Network’s links to claim it. Our team verifies every offer from the best prediction market apps to ensure you receive the best possible value.
For now, the primary way to engage is through the app’s internal "Truth Gems" system, which may eventually lead to promo trading credits.
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⭐ Truth Predict Promo Code |
Stay tuned! |
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💰 Truth Predict Welcome Offer |
TBD! |
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📝 Terms & Conditions |
TBD! |
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📍 Expected Legal States |
All 50 |
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✅ Info Last Verified by Action Network On: |
April 2026 |
Truth Predict Launch Status in April 2026
Trump Media announced Truth Predict on October 28, 2025 and said testing would begin “in the near future,” with a broader U.S. rollout planned after that. Then came the fine print.
In its November 2025 quarterly filing, Trump Media said Truth Predict was in beta, but it also warned that adoption, user engagement, partner integration, and long-term scale were still open questions. That’s a pretty different tone from a clean public launch, and it reads more like a company testing whether the idea can really hold up once actual users get their hands on it.
So, where does that leave things in April 2026? Announced, yes. Branded, yes. But there’s still no clear public path from signup to first trade, no posted fee schedule, and no clean state-by-state access picture. That gap between the press release and the finished product is still a big one.
How to Claim the Truth Predict Offer
Truth Predict's prediction markets and promo offer aren't live yet, but we have a pretty good idea of what the signup flow will look like.
Based on our experience, here are the expected steps if a code/offer goes live:
- Use Our Link: Use our link to download or go to Truth Social.
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Create an Account: Create a Truth Social account if you don't already have one, ensuring you enter our promo code (once available).
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Navigate to Predict: Locate the Truth Predict tab or menu item within the app interface.
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Link Your Wallet: Follow the prompts to connect your account to the Crypto.com backend.
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Convert Gems: If you've earned Truth Gems, you can convert them into Cronos (CRO) to begin trading.
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Fulfill Promo Requirements: Meet any deposit or trading requirements to claim your bonus.
Truth Predict Prediction Markets Terms & Conditions
Despite the seemingly light-hearted nature of trading prediction markets on a social media app, Truth Predict involves real-money contracts governed by federal standards.
Expect terms such as the following:
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Age Requirement: Users must be at least 18 years old to participate in prediction markets.
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Registration: You must have a verified Truth Social account and likely a secondary verification through Crypto.com.
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Currency: Trading is conducted using Cronos (CRO) digital currency, not USD directly.
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Market Regulation: Truth Predict is powered by Crypto.com Derivatives North America, which is regulated by the CFTC.
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Geographic Restrictions: Availability is subject to state laws; certain states may issue cease-and-desist orders against event trading. Bonuses might also be limited to certain states.
More Truth Predict Promos
We expect Truth Predict to leverage its social media roots to keep users engaged—here are some possible promos beyond just a welcome offer:
Truth Gems Loyalty Program
The most unique feature is the Truth Gems system. Users who earn Gems through app engagement—like posting or interacting—can convert Gems into Cronos (CRO). CRO is a digital cryptocurrency you can use to purchase Truth Predict contracts.
Referral Rewards
Given that Truth Social is built on community, we expect Truth Predict to roll out a "Refer-a-Friend" program. Both the referrer and the new user could receive CRO or trading credits.
How Truth Predict Prediction Markets May Work
The setup Trump Media has described so far is pretty simple on paper. Truth Predict would live inside Truth Social, while the contract-trading side runs through Crypto.com, which is the regulated exchange and clearing piece behind the whole project.
Trump Media and Crypto.com had already laid some of that groundwork in August 2025. That earlier partnership tied Crypto.com wallet infrastructure and Cronos (CRO) into Truth Social and Truth+, and Trump Media said users would be able to convert Truth Gems into CRO for rewards. When Truth Predict was announced two months later, the company said that the same CRO setup would connect to event-contract trading.
For those who’ve never used a prediction market, think of an event contract as a yes-or-no market on a real-world outcome. Will a team win? Will inflation come in above a certain number? Will a candidate win a race? If a Yes contract is trading at $0.70, the market is pricing that outcome at about a 70% chance right then and there.
If you come from online sports betting, look at it like this. You’re not locking in a fixed line and sitting on it until the game ends: you’re trading a contract that can move in price before settlement, which makes this feel a lot more like an exchange product than a normal bet slip.
Truth Predict will likely offer event contract trading on sports, entertainment, culture, weather, global events, etc. And we're almost positive that the prediction market app won't shy away from politics—it might even compete to become one of the best political betting apps.
Is Truth Predict Legal in the U.S.?
Trump Media is trying to bring Truth Predict to market through a federally regulated route. CDNA, the Crypto.com entity tied to the product, is registered with the CFTC as a designated contract market and a derivatives clearing organization. The CFTC has also said event-contract markets fall under its jurisdiction, and in early 2026, it reaffirmed that position in court filings tied to the Nevada fight over prediction markets.
But that doesn't mean every state is just going to shrug and wave it through. State regulators have been pushing back hard on sports and entertainment event contracts, and that pressure isn’t hypothetical anymore. In March 2026, a Nevada judge temporarily blocked Kalshi from offering certain contracts in the state while that case moved forward. Different company, same category, same legal tension. Federal derivatives oversight on one side, state gaming enforcement on the other.
So the answer is a little messier than “yes” or “no.” Truth Predict may launch through a federally regulated structure, but users still shouldn’t assume it'll be available everywhere on day one. Age, identity, and location rules are likely to matter, and state access may not be as simple as opening the app or a new tab.
What’s Still Not Clear Before Launch
We still cannot rate liquidity, funding flow, interface quality, or exit flexibility because the public-facing product hasn’t been laid out in full. What we can say is that the concept is easy enough to follow: Truth Social wants users to talk about popular events and trade on them in the same place. Whether that becomes a usable platform instead of a headline is still an open question.
Truth Predict Timeline
If you want the short version for this project and its launch, here’s the timeline so far.
- In August 2025, Trump Media and Crypto.com announce a broader partnership tying Crypto.com wallet infrastructure and CRO into Truth Social and Truth+.
- In October 2025, Trump Media formally unveils Truth Predict and says event-contract trading will come to Truth Social through Crypto.com | Derivatives North America.
- In February 2026, Trump Media says Truth Predict is in beta and flags uncertainty around adoption, engagement, partner integration, and long-term scale.
- And as of April 2026, Truth Predict has branding and a public pitch, but still doesn’t look like a fully documented public launch.
Responsible Trading at Truth Predict
If Truth Predict goes live, it should be treated like real-money trading, not just another feature sitting inside a social app. Political and breaking-news markets can move faster than the sports markets many of us are used to, and a loud market isn’t always a smart one.
So, if you decide to use a platform like this, set your limits before you start. Pick a number you can afford to lose, avoid chasing a price move just because the feed is buzzing, and don’t assume a sharp change on a market means someone out there knows something you don’t.
If you need support for a gambling-related issue, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help. Read our responsible trading guide for more information.
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