5/2/24

Series 3s Leader My Player Props Forecast: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/denver-nuggets-vs-minnesota-timberwolves-player-prop-forecast

Play down to +140 My Forecast: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/denver-nuggets-vs-minnesota-timberwolves-player-prop-forecast

Bet after Game 1

Bet After Game 1

Teasing my Player Prop Forecast - would play down to 16/1

My Forecast: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/indiana-pacers-vs-new-york-knicks-player-prop-forecast

Bet365 best price https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-forecast-celtics-vs-cavaliers-series

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-prop-forecast-thunder-vs-mavericks-shai-gilgeous-alexander-more

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-prop-forecast-thunder-vs-mavericks-shai-gilgeous-alexander-more

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-prop-forecast-thunder-vs-mavericks-shai-gilgeous-alexander-more

51/75 games of 30+ this season

Bet before Game 2

Since Kristaps Porzingis was injured, the Celtics have made a modification to their rotation, specifically in the 1Q. The key change is that Tatum went from playing about 8 mins in the 1Q to the full 12 minutes. This is a notable swing, especially because those 1Q minutes had aligned with Porzingis’ and Boston had made a concerted effort to involve Porzingis in the offense early and often. Now, that Usage dried up a bit and is available for the taking. In the four games without Porzingis, he has scored 9, 9, 8, and 12 points and there’s been a healthy mix of hot shooting with generating contact and free throws. He hasn’t been reliant on drawing fouls. On the season, when Tatum has played the entire 1Q, he averages 10.3 points for an 83% hit rate and this jumps to 12.1 points and a 100% hit rate without Porzingis in 10 games. This is a bet on the data we have with the Celtics’ change in their rotation, and although Tatum has struggled to hit his full game points prop for the majority of this series, there is a clear level of certainty in his early rotation. I’ll back Tatum to exceed 7.5 1Q Points.

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-title-odds-championship-value-bets

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-title-odds-championship-value-bets

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-forecast-round-one-of-the-eastern-conference

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-forecast-round-one-of-the-eastern-conference

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-forecast-round-one-of-the-western-conference

9/27/23, after Dame news

DK Odds Surge

11/13/23 Gave this out on Buckets preseason at 80/1 but will log here at the current price. Forgot to log earlier

Via @TurveyBets

Via @TurveyBets

Via @TurveyBets

2/12/24: gave this out on Buckets. Rivers had an 80/1 but I can’t get down there Talked about it at length on buckets but basically very easy schedule, excellent with Draymond back as a starter and Kerr benching Klay down the stretch and closing with Kuminga shows he’s making the tough choices