Lakers vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2026

Lakers at Thunder

12:30 am • NBC/Peacock

Los Angeles Lakers

0-1

90 - 108

Oklahoma City Thunder

1-0

108

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Lakers 0-1	+14.5	+15.5-110	o212.5-110	+610
Thunder 1-0	u213.5	-15.5-110	u212.5-110	-900

Wednesday 12:30 a.m.

May 06, 2026

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

A.Mitchell o22.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

0.8u

LAL +15.5-110

0.11u

R.Hachimura o12.5 Pts+104

1.04u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o7.5 Ast+113

LAL +15.5-102

LAL o99.5+105

0.75u

L.James o19.5 Pts-122

2.46u

OKC -9.5 (1H)+104

0.5u

We know how good OKC is at home and early in games. Add in a shock to the system factor for the Lakers after playing Houston and this could be an early statement https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-spread-moneyline-picks-our-3-bets-for-cavaliers-ml-lakers-ats-more-on-tuesday-may-6

C.Holmgren u1.5 Ast-114

0.5u

Chet deserves a number this low. Just 8.7% of his passes this season have led to potential assists, one of the lowest rates among qualified players. A lot of his passes are simply outlet passes after rebounds or inbounds, he’s not typically creating shots. His pass rate dipped in the series vs. Phoenix, but he still cleared this in 2 of 4 games thanks to teammates shooting 50% from 3 on his passes. He basically needs everything to line up and his teammates to run hot specifically off his passes to get there. I’m also projecting the Thunder for around 3 fewer team assists tonight compared to last series, which quietly dings everyone’s assist projection. It’s more of a team-wide sell-high spot. There’s also some blowout risk baked in. I have him closer to 1.3 assists with about a 59% chance to stay under 1.5. Fading a number this low on a player with his minutes is always a little uncomfortable, but he can go long stretches without picking one up. He had 0 total assists in the first two games last series.

C.Wallace o1.5 Stl-104

$1.00

Over 213.5-106

I.Joe o1.5 3pt M-125

I.Joe o1.5 3pt M-120

0.6u

#Tailing @JoeDellera

I.Joe o1.5 3pt M-120

1.2u

4, 4, 6, 6 vs LAL this season

I.Joe To Make 3+ Threes Yes+216

0.2u

M.Smart u15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-104

C.Wallace o1.5 Stl+101

1.01u

Wallace has recorded a steal in 10 straight games against the Lakers and two steals in seven of them.

A.Mitchell o3.5 Rebs-118

0.85u

#EV 5.78%

LAL +15.5-104

0.25u

@HPBasketball ⭐️ https://myaction.app/t2VuqPLET2b

J.LaRavia o3.5 Pts-105

0.25u

@bryanfonseca ⭐️ https://myaction.app/t2VuqPLET2b

M.Smart u13.5 Pts+Ast-125

0.5u

@HPBasketball ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/t2VuqPLET2b

I.Hartenstein o8.5 Pts+120

0.31u

#EV 6.04%

Over 109.5 (1H)+106

0.54u

#EV 2.15%

OKC -16.5+108

3.24u

Under 213.5+104

3.12u

M.Smart u15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-104

0.55u

LAL +15.5-110

0.55u

J.LaRavia o3.5 Pts-112

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 20-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Thunder' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	39-43	19-23	20-20	36-41	2-2
Lakers	45-37	24-17	21-20	30-19	15-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	44-38	22-20	22-18	39-38	4-0
Lakers	41-39-2	22-19	19-20-2	23-25-1	18-14-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	5-0	N/A	N/A	62-15	1-3
Lakers	4-3	N/A	N/A	38-11	15-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	@PHX	W 131-122	-11.5 L	O 215.5	OKC -535
Apr 25th	@PHX	W 121-109	-8.5 W	O 212	OKC -375
Apr 23rd	PHX	W 120-107	-17 L	O 216	OKC -2000
Apr 19th	PHX	W 119-84	-17 W	U 216	OKC -1600
Apr 13th	PHX	L 103-135	-6.5 L	O 213	PHX -300