Dodgers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2023

Dodgers at Guardians

11:10 pm • BSGL

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

3 - 8

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N. Syndergaard			5.40	1-2
B.Miller			3.76	11-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 11-5	-1.5-120	o8.5-115	-196
Guardians 4-6	+1.5+100	u8.5-105	+164

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

August 22, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

M. Busch o0.5 SB+825

0.15u

LAD -1.5-120

M.Betts o0.5 SB+350

0.88u

J.Outman o0.5 SB+330

0.35u

LAD -200

LAD -1.5-125

1.25u

CLE +184

1.1u

Available at FanDuel. My model is not a fan of Noah Syndergaard -- despite this being a revenge game -- and it's still showing value on the Guardians. Their offense has finally become competent, and the active roster now has a 99 wRC+ against righties for the season. They're facing Bobby Miller, who has a 3.38 ERA since he started to lean on more four-seamers and fewer sinkers, and his peripherals are good, too. This is just a tough number to get to for a team that's on the road against a non-dumpster-fire squad that still has at least an outside shot at the postseason.

Over 9-110

We also piss nuked mookie single

LAD -1.5-130

1.3u

This isn’t 1u. We piss nuked.

LAD o2.5 (F5)-135

0.37u

LAD -182 (F5)

0.82u

LAD -182 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -190

Under 9-110

$1.00

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The Dodgers are 25-14 (.641) after a home win this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .543.

Jean Segura has an OPS of just .556 this season -- eighth worst among hitters with at least 184 total PA's-- second Percentile. Evan Phillips has allowed an OPS of just .514 (175 PAs) this season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 12% (9/72) against Bobby Miller -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% -- 0 Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 50 times since last season -- most in MLB -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 20th	DET	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	DET -105
Aug 19th	DET	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	DET -174
Aug 18th	DET	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE -145
Aug 18th	DET	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -130
Aug 16th	@CIN	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	CIN +144

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out
Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	97	6.1	5	4
LC.Ferguson, P	17	0.2	1	3
LB.Hudson, P	35	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	2-3	2	0	0
1M.Betts, RF	2-3	2	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
3W.Smith, C	1-4	1	1	2
4M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Peralta, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Heyward, RF	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Hernandez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Hernandez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Outman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Busch, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Rojas, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN. Syndergaard, P	95	6	4	3
LS.Hentges, P	16	1	3	0
RT.Stephan, P	16	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	0	1
2J.Ramirez, 3B	1-5	1	0	1
3K. Calhoun, 1B	1-4	1	1	3
4O. González, DH	1-4	1	1	1
5A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
6G.Arias, SS	1-4	0	0	1
7W.Brennan, RF	3-4	1	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	2-4	1	0	1