To celebrate the Fourth of July holiday, we're making Action PRO's cutting-edge tools and analysis free in the Action app from Friday-Sunday, including the article below!
Fireworks start early this 4th of July weekend. We’re serving up two sharp, model-driven afternoon picks Friday: Egypt vs Australia (2 p.m. ET) and Cubs vs Cardinals (4:05 p.m. ET).
Both picks are courtesy of PRO Projections.
PRO compares modeled probabilities to available odds and highlights the largest edges. Subscribers get full access to projections, probabilities for moneylines, totals, props and more, across various sports. PRO articles are free in the app all weekend, so check them out.
Here, Action PRO models flagged a big edge on the Egypt vs. Australia total, as well as a +500 Cardinals vs. Cubs pick.
July 3rd Predictions: Egypt vs Australia Over/Under, Cubs vs Cardinals +500 Pick
PRO nailed Wednesday's totals. England vs DR Congo sailed over the number. Belgium vs Senegal did the same.
Friday’s moneylines are generally in line with the market. The real value shows up in Friday's totals, with the best bet landing in the early match.
For Australia vs Egypt, PRO Projections side with over 1.5 goals. PRO projects the expected goals at 2.16. The market consensus, meanwhile, is admittedly a bit pricey, but still in the range where the model is flashing a noteworthy edge. It’s the top soccer play on the three-game slate.
Another smart data pick falls in the Cubs vs. Cardinals game at 4:05 p.m. ET. The PRO dashboard lists a chunky edge on a +500 doubles prediction for Cubs star Ian Happ. PRO rates Happ's doubles probability at 0.24. That translates to about a 5% edge versus the market price. Wind is blowing out at Wrigley, yet homers look drained of value. The doubles prediction here is higher conviction and offers more value.
Check out PRO Report and other sharp insights, and enjoy the weekend.
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that's where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high-grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
