Egypt and Australia are set to clash in a historic Round of 32 match at AT&T Stadium on July 3, with kickoff set for 2 p.m. ET. Both nations are aiming to secure their first victory in the knockout stage of the World Cup, setting the stage for a tense encounter.
Egypt is +150 on the moneyline and Australia is +230; the over/under is 1.5 goals (-170o / +135u).
Let’s get into my Australia vs Egypt predictions.
Australia vs Egypt Prediction
- Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes (+120 at bet365)
My Australia vs Egypt best bet is for both teams to find the back of the net, reflecting Egypt's offensive capabilities and the defensive vulnerabilities shown so far in the competition.
Australia vs Egypt Odds
| Egypt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +140 | 1.5 -170o / 135u | +150 |
| Australia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -175 | 1.5 -170o / 135u | +230 |
Australia vs Egypt World Cup Preview
This match carries significant historical weight for both nations. Egypt is in the knockout stage for the first time, while Australia has never won a knockout game in its history, falling to Italy in 2006 and Argentina in 2022.
The tactical battle is expected to be tight, with both teams likely prioritizing defensive solidity and relying on counter-attacks. This cautious approach could lead to a low-scoring game that extends into extra time.
Australia may also be motivated by a desire for revenge after a 2-0 defeat to Egypt at the 2021 Tokyo Olympics shattered the medal hopes of several current squad members. The Socceroos will look to leverage their physical resilience against Egypt's technical style.
Head-to-head history is limited, with their only prior meeting being a 3-0 friendly victory for Egypt back in 2010. In tournament play, Australia has a decent record against African teams, with one win and one draw, including a 1-0 victory over Tunisia in 2022.
Egypt, meanwhile, has struggled against opponents from the Asian confederation at the finals, recording one draw and one loss.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Egypt vs Australia picks.
Australia vs Egypt Picks, Parlay
- Both Teams to Score – Yes (+120 at bet365)
- 1st Half – Draw (-111 at bet365)
The value in this matchup appears to be with both teams scoring. Egypt's group-stage games were consistently open, with all three matches ending in goals for both sides.
The Pharaohs demonstrated their attacking prowess by scoring against a strong Belgian team, but also revealed defensive weaknesses by conceding to both Iran and New Zealand.
Their underlying metrics support this, showing an expected goals against (xGA) of 4.56 across three games, suggesting their defense has been fortunate to have conceded only three goals.
Australia, conversely, built its group stage success on a solid defensive foundation, securing two clean sheets. However, their defense was lucky not to concede to Turkiye, and their final group match against Paraguay was a low-event affair in which a draw suited both teams.
While the Socceroos have not been prolific, generating just 2.08 expected goals (xG) in the group stage, Egypt's defensive gaps could provide the openings they need. In a win-or-go-home scenario, the game is likely to open up, making a wager on both teams to score an attractive option.
Furthermore, a cagey start is anticipated, making the first-half draw a compelling pick. Knockout matches often begin cautiously, as teams are reluctant to take early risks.
This trend was evident in Australia's final group game against Paraguay, which was scoreless at halftime with a combined xG of just 0.28 in the first 45 minutes.
Statistically, this bet has landed in four of Australia’s last 10 matches, where they have averaged just 0.3 first-half goals.
Similarly, Egypt’s last game against Iran was level at the break, and this outcome has occurred in five of their last 10 competitive fixtures. With both sides struggling to score early, a stalemate at halftime seems probable.
Australia vs Egypt Predicted Lineup
Australia Expected Lineup (3-4-3)
- Goalkeeper: E. Martínez
- Defenders: Souttar, Burgess, Circati
- Midfielders: Bos, O'Neill, Irvine, Behich
- Forwards: Metcalfe, Toure, Irankunda
Egypt Expected Lineup (4-3-3)
- Goalkeeper: Mostafa Shobeir
- Defenders: Hany, Rabia, Ibrahim, Hafez
- Midfielders: Saber, Fathy; Zico, Ashour, Trezeguet
- Striker: Marmoush
Australia vs Egypt Weather
The heat is nearing triple digits in Arlington, Texas, on Friday — but that will not impact this match as it will be played inside AT&T Stadium.
