(B365) - E.Perez (3.80 SIERA/3.23 xERA LY) dominated in great spot to open season, Warren (4.08/4.58) was mediocre in nice spot in SF - MIA 140 wRC+ to start season, but still far behind NYY offensively & defensively, while pen projections & base running are comparable - Still, big dog w/ better starting pitcher (Good to +130 ish)

(B365) King (3.99 SIERA/4.27 xERA LY, Gray (3.29/3.88) - King walked 4 first start after struggling w/ injuries last yaer, Gray 15 of 20 batters K or GB 1st start - BOS should have massive defensive and base running edges if they play their usual LU (should on opening day at Fenway) (wouldn't play much higher)

(B365) 117 Park Run Factor - Springs estimators around 4.5 last year & HOU set up to punish LHP, Javier has shown nothing to impress me after missing several years & A's proj LU 124 wRC+ vs RHP since LY - Pair of bottom half projected bullpens. (Would play through 10.5, but lower to 0.5u)

Going back to the well on this one, hoping for better results. See these sides (starters, offense, defense, bullpen) altogether evenly matched with ARI at home and better base running. E Rod has looked good in WBC + first start. (Would play at any dog price plus $$)