I've been tracking Action PRO Projections all NCAA Tournament, and the best bet tips off Friday in a clash of blue bloods.
Duke vs. St. John's (7:10 p.m. ET; CBS) lines in the Sweet 16 are nowhere near the prices from premium advanced models available for subscribers. The No. 1-seed Blue Devils are -6.5, with a total of 141.5.
Action projections run odds for each spread, moneyline and total in the NCAA Tournament. After comparing lines to the market, each pick is assigned a grade like A, B and C to determine the strength.
Two of Saturday's Duke vs. St. John's lines were tagged with the coveted 'A+' conviction level.
Duke vs. St. John's Lines: PRO Projections Best Bets of the NCAA Tournament
Monitoring projections daily, edges admittedly weren't as strong the first weekend of the tourney.
Not here!
These are two rare A+ edges this deep into the season, and it's obvious the market is overestimating Duke.
Action PRO Projections love St. John's to not only keep things close Friday against Duke, but win outright.
The Blue Devils are favored by 6.5 points on the spread. Our NCAAB power ratings suggest a much narrower gap, projecting Duke and head coach Jon Scheyer just -2.7 in Friday's Sweet 16.
Consensus moneyline odds around the market price St. John's +230, odds which imply a 30% chance to win outright.
Action PRO's true moneyline price for St. John's is more like +133, or a 42% chance for an upset.
Both St. John's to cover and win outright earned A+ grades, and are
