The New York Knicks (1-2) and Atlanta Hawks (2-1) square off at State Farm Arena for a huge Game 4 showdown this evening, Saturday, April 25. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 p.m. ET, with the national broadcast airing live on NBC and Peacock.
The Knicks are listed as 2.5-point road favorites over Atlanta in Game 4, with the over/under set at 214.5 total points. New York is a -130 moneyline favorite to even the series, while the Hawks are priced at +110 to protect home court and take a commanding 3-1 lead.
Continue below for my Knicks vs. Hawks predictions and top NBA betting picks for tonight’s playoff clash.
Knicks vs Hawks Prediction, Pick
- Knicks vs Hawks pick: Josh Hart Over 13.5 Rebounds & Assists (-120)
My Knicks vs. Hawks Game 4 betting prediction is on Josh Hart to combine for over 13.5 rebounds & assists. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Knicks vs Hawks Odds: Game 4
| Knicks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -102 | 214.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Hawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -118 | 214.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks Game 4 Preview
Knicks Betting Preview, Analysis
This feels like a "don’t overthink it" spot. We saw Karl-Anthony Towns finally wake up on the glass in Game 3—he grabbed 17 boards after being stuck at eight in each of the first two games—and while that's great for New York, I’m not sure I can trust KAT to maintain that level of consistent physicality every single night.
If the Knicks are going to win this game—and let’s be clear, they absolutely need to win this to keep the season from slipping away—they have to dominate the glass.
If I’m betting on grit and motor, I’m betting on Josh Hart.
Hawks Betting Preview, Analysis
In this series, Hart has been absolute chaos for the Hawks to deal with. He’s currently averaging 18 rebounds & assists per game through the first three contests.
Think about that for a second: we are getting a line at 13.5 for a guy who is clearing that by nearly five units on average right now. He is like a piranha in a fishbowl out there.
When the stakes are this high and the season is on the line, the Knicks aren't looking toward their bench; they are leaning on the guys they trust.
Hart is actually averaging more minutes than Jalen Brunson right now (by a razor-thin margin). The Knicks simply cannot afford to keep him sidelined for long stretches, and when he's on the floor, he's involved in every single play.
Knicks vs Hawks Picks, Betting Predictions
What really stood out to me was his performance in Game 3. Hart only scored two points the entire night. Most players who have a "bad game" offensively would see their overall production dip, but not Hart.
He still played 40 minutes, hauled in nine rebounds, and stayed active in the playmaking department. Part of that high minute total was because Mikal Bridges really struggled to find his rhythm, forcing New York to ride the hot hand early.
Hart is the ultimate safety net for New York's coaching staff. If the starters are clanking shots, Hart is the one crashing the offensive glass to save the possession.
I also love the way he starts these games. In the last outing, he had seven rebounds almost immediately. He doesn't wait for the game to come to him; he hunts the ball from the opening tip.
The market is starting to catch on—we’ve seen his individual rebounding prop jump from 7.5 to 8.5—which is why I think attacking the Rebounds & Assists combo is the smarter play here. It gives you multiple paths to victory.
If the Hawks try to sell out to stop him from crashing the boards, he’s more than capable of finding the open man in transition or on the perimeter.
This is a volume and effort play. We are getting a guy who is going to play 40-plus minutes, who is the heart and soul of the Knicks' hustle plays, and he's already shown that his floor in this series is right around where this line is currently set.
With the Knicks facing a must-win scenario in Game 4 against Atlanta today, expect peak desperation from New York in this spot.
I don’t think the Hawks have an answer for Hart's motor, and 13.5 R+A is just too low for a player with this kind of usage.
Knicks vs Hawks Game 4 Best Bet
- Josh Hart Over 13.5 Rebounds & Assists (-120)
For the latest on NBA injuries, be sure to check out our NBA Injury Report page.
Knicks vs Hawks Betting Trends
