Happy Friday! I've got some bangers!
That includes one home run pick for eight games on Friday night.
Read on for my MLB home run picks today for May 29.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 6:45 PM | |
  | 7:05 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 7:15 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Braves vs Reds
This is one of my favorite bets on the board.
Ronald Acuna has been incredibly unlucky this season when it comes to home runs. The underlying numbers have been good, and the ball should be leaving the yard for him soon enough.
This ballpark is a massive upgrade and one of the best in the league for power. The matchup vs. Chris Paddack is great, as he's split neutral when it comes to power and has allowed a career 1.48 HR/9 to righties.
I have the true odds here under +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Ronald Acuna Jr. Home Run
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Padres vs Nationals
Lucas Giolito has been good since coming back from Tommy John surgery, but he's due for some big regression. He has been reverse splits in his career, but still grades out as a matchup that is well above average for lefty power.
The weather in Washington should be good for hitting, with temperatures near 80 degrees and wind blowing out.
CJ Abrams has been incredible this season, and I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: CJ Abrams Home Run
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Blue Jays vs Orioles
The Blue Jays are rolling with an opener and a long-relief pitcher, and both are a plus matchup for Pete Alonso.
Adam Macko is a lefty who grades out as an above-average matchup for righty power, and Austin Voth is a big fly-ball pitcher who grades out as an above-average matchup for righty power.
The weather in Baltimore should be good for hitting, and I have the true odds here around +320, making this a great bet.
Pick: Pete Alonso Home Run
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Marlins vs Mets
This matchup is just OK, but with the way that Juan Soto has been playing, these odds are far too high.
Max Meyer is a reverse-splits pitcher when it comes to power, but he projects as an above-average matchup for lefty power.
The weather in New York should be good for hitting, with temperatures near 80 degrees and wind blowing out at 11 mph.
Soto has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball recently, and I have the true odds here around +300, making this a great bet.
Pick: Juan Soto Home Run
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Angels vs Rays
This is strictly a price play.
This ballpark is a downgrade for Mike Trout, and the matchup against Nick Martinez is average for righty power.
But Trout has been hammering the ball this season, and even though the homer numbers haven't been incredible, the underlying numbers have been.
I have the true odds here around +320, making this a great bet.
Pick: Mike Trout Home Run
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Cubs vs Cardinals
Jordan Walker gets a great spot, and these odds are far too high.
Walker has been one of the best hitters in the league this season and has shown the power he's always had.
The matchup against Shota Imanaga is one of the best in the league for righty power, as Imanaga has allowed a career 1.68 HR/9 to righties.
I have the true odds here around +320, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jordan Walker Home Run
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Tigers vs White Sox
Spencer Torkelson gets a great spot, and these odds are far too high.
Erick Fedde has been absolutely crushed by righty power this season, giving up an unreal 3.60 HR/9.
The weather should be a bit below average for hitting, but this ballpark is an upgrade.
I have the true odds here around +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Spencer Torkelson Home Run
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Yankees vs A's
Trent Grisham has been a bit unlucky when it comes to power this season, but he still grades out as a power hitter who is well above average.
The matchup against Luis Severino is a plus for lefty power, and this ballpark is one of the best in the league for power.
I have the true odds here under +400, making this a great bet.
Pick: Trent Grisham Home Run
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