The Toronto Blue Jays (39-39) host the Houston Astros (37-43) on June 23, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 4:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SCHN.
The Blue Jays are favored by -132 on the moneyline and by -1.5 (+155) on the run line. The Astros are +112 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-188) on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs (-115 / -105).
Find my MLB picks and Astros vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction, Picks
- Astros vs Blue Jays Pick: Astros ML (+110 or Better)
My Astros vs Blue Jays best bet is on Houston. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Astros vs Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, and Total
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -188 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +112 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -132 |
- Astros vs Blue Jays moneyline: Astros +112, Blue Jays -132
- Astros vs Blue Jays over/under: 8.5 (-115 / -105)
- Astros vs Blue Jays spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+155), Astros +1.5 (-188)
Astros vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| Peter Lambert (RHP, HOU) | Stat | Shane Bieber (RHP, TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | W-L | Season Debut |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | — |
| 3.23 / 3.52 | ERA / xERA | — |
| 3.91 / 4.49 | FIP / xFIP | — |
| 12.6% | K-BB% | — |
| 41.0% | GB% | — |
| .238 | BABIP | — |
| 91 | Stuff+ | — |
| 100 | Location+ | — |
Astros vs Blue Jays Expert Picks for Today's MLB Game
If you're struggling to break down this game, it would be wise to use Sean Zerillo's new BARTOLO tool.
Here's a sneak peek of what you can get with an Action PRO subscription.
How To Make Astros vs Blue Jays Picks and Best Bets
While Peter Lambert is not a very good pitcher, I think he actually gets a bit of a bad rap. He’s running an above-average strikeout minus walk rate (12.6%), has accumulated 1.0 fWAR, and his earned run indicators indicate a slightly below-average starting pitcher.
I actually prefer Lambert to Shane Bieber, given how poorly Bieber struggled in his rehab starts — he’s making his 2026 MLB debut today. Across four starts at the High-A and Triple-A levels, Bieber allowed 13 earned runs on 24 hits across 15 innings, with just 11 strikeouts to five walks.
I doubt that Bieber is in top form at the moment. I don’t even know if he’s fully healthy.
Meanwhile, as you can see above, Zerillo power rates Houston’s bullpen as the best in the league.
Both lineups should be power rated about the same based on both forward-facing projections and past production, meaning that Houston should (surprisingly) have the pitching advantage across all nine innings in this matchup.
Yet we can get the Astros at more-than-reasonable plus-money prices. Zerillo doesn't project any value on Houston in this matchup, but I'll take a shot with them in Tuesday's afternoon ballgame.
Pick: Astros ML (+110 or Better)
