The New York Mets host the Detroit Tigers on May 13, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Tigers are favored by -111 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are -107 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Tigers vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Tigers vs Mets Prediction
- Tigers vs Mets Pick: Framber Valdez Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130, betMGM)
My Tigers vs Mets best bet is on Valdez to record less than 5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Mets Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -180 | 8 -116o / -105u | -107 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +150 | 8 -116o / -105u | -111 |
- Tigers vs Mets moneyline: Tigers -107, Mets -111
- Tigers vs Mets over/under: 8 (-116o / -105u)
- Tigers vs Mets spread: Tigers -1.5 (+150), Mets +1.5 (-180)
Tigers vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Framber Valdez | Stat | Christian Scott |
|---|---|---|
| 19-23 | W-L | 16-25 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 4.57 / 4.30 | ERA / xERA | 3.27 / 3.31 |
| 4.32 / 4.18 | FIP / xFIP | 4.03 / 4.38 |
| 10.3 | K-BB% | 16.7 |
| 52.5 | GB% | 22.7 |
| .301 | BABIP | .217 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 99 | Location+ | 93 |
Tigers vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Tigers starter Framber Valdez for 4.52 strikeouts in his matchup against the Mets tonight, giving us a solid 9.4% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to tag the Under with a B- grade in our system.
Tigers vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
Valdez enters this outing with 35 strikeouts on the season, but this will be his first appearance since serving a five-game suspension following his ejection against the Red Sox earlier this month. The left-hander admitted the suspension was difficult mentally, and now the focus shifts toward simply getting back into rhythm and helping Detroit stabilize a rotation that has been hit hard by injuries.
While Valdez has historically been effective against the Mets, workload and sharpness remain fair questions after the layoff. Detroit is unlikely to push him too aggressively in his return, especially with the team trying to ease him back into a normal routine after missing time.
We know Valdez can generate strikeouts when he’s at his best, but with PRO projecting this line almost directly at the number and uncertainty surrounding his return to the mound, the value lies on the under in this spot.
Pick: Framber Valdez Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130, betMGM)
