The Tampa Bay Rays host the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday, May 19. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on RAYS and MLB.TV.
Both teams enter at -110 on the moneyline, but the Rays are favored on the run line at -1.5 (+180), while the Orioles sit at +1.5 (-220). The over/under sits at 7.5 total runs (-110o / -110u).
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Picks
- Orioles vs Rays Pick: Griffin Jax Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-104)
My Orioles vs Rays best bet is on Griffin Jax to record under 4.5 Strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Rays Odds, Spread, Line
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -220 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +180 | 7.5 -110o / -110u | -110 |
- Orioles vs Rays Moneyline: Orioles ML -110, Rays ML -110
- Orioles vs Rays Over/Under: 7.5
- Orioles vs Rays Run Line: Orioles +1.5 (-220), Rays -1.5 (+180)
Orioles vs Rays Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Kyle Bradish (BAL) | Stat | RHP Griffin Jax (TBR) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.2 |
| 4.21/3.93 | ERA / xERA | 3.91/5.29 |
| 3.94/3.81 | FIP / xFIP | 5.06/4.72 |
| 13.1% | K-BB% | 4.0% |
| 50.8% | GB% | 51.6% |
| .341 | BABIP | .266 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 99 | Location+ | 100 |
Orioles vs Rays Pick, Preview
By Chris Prince
I understand it's a matchup against a strikeout-prone Orioles team, but this number seems a bit too inflated, and we are getting a solid price as well.
Jax showed a ton of strikeout upside in the 2025 season that we just haven't seen yet this season, as he has no more than three strikeouts in any appearance.
Now, to be fair, his role has been expanded over his last two appearances and he's gone deeper into games, but his overall strikeout rate is sitting at just 18.2% on the season.
His walks are way up, and his SwStr% has dipped from 18.3% last season to just 11.5% this season.
This is a numbers play for me, and the numbers are pushing me toward the under.
Pick: Griffin Jax Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-104)
