Guardians vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 29, 2023

Guardians at Tigers

10:40 pm • BSDET

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

7 - 5

Detroit Tigers

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Wentz			6.90	3-13
C.Quantrill			5.24	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+146	o8.5-122	-112
Tigers 4-3	+1.5-178	u8.5+101	-105

Friday 10:40 p.m.

September 29, 2023

Comerica ParkDetroit

K.Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases+145

0.75u

K.Carpenter o0.5 HR+630

0.25u

DET -104

Joey Wentz has pitched well against the Guardians, who rank last in batting average versus lefty pitching.

DET -104

1.04u

DET -108 (F5)

0.54u

Bet to -110

DET +106

0.5u

Bet to -105

Featured Insight
The Tigers have scored just 2.1 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- third-lowest in MLB (321 games). The Guardians have allowed just 2.3 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- sixth-lowest in MLB (321 games).

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored just 2.0 runs per game while trailing since last season -- seventh-lowest in MLB (218 games). The Tigers have allowed just 1.9 runs per game while leading since last season -- third-lowest in MLB (195 games).

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The Guardians are just 57-10 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Jose Ramirez is slugging .490 on breaking pitches since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Alex Lange has thrown his curveball 54% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

34% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 35% of Will Vest strikeouts are looking since last season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (69/195) against Carlos Rodon in two-strike counts in 2022 -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% -- fourth Percentile.

Carlos Rodon had a strikeout rate of 39% (56/142) with runners in scoring position in 2022 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 21% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 28th	KC	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 7	DET -110
Sep 28th	KC	W 8-0	-1.5 W	U 8	DET -210
Sep 26th	KC	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	DET -164
Sep 24th	@OAK	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	DET -138
Sep 23rd	@OAK	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	OAK -130

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	101	5	3	4
LS.Hentges, P	13	1	0	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Lopez, P	20	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	9	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Naylor, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4R.Laureano, RF	1-2	2	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
6T.Freeman, 3B	2-5	1	1	3
7B.Rocchio, SS	2-5	1	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	2-4	2	1	2
9M.Straw, CF	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wentz, P	62	2.1	2	7
LA. Vasquez, P	17	1.2	1	0
RT.Wingenter, P	19	1	2	0
LT.Holton, P	21	2	0	0
RJ.Cisnero, P	28	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	2-5	0	0	2
2S.Torkelson, 1B	2-5	1	1	1
3M. Cabrera, DH	3-4	0	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
5M.Vierling, LF	1-5	1	0	0
6Z.McKinstry, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
6Z.McKinstry, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
7J.Baez, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8A.Baddoo, LF	0-1	1	0	0
8A.Ibanez, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8A.Ibanez, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	2-4	0	0	0