Royals vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2023

Royals at Tigers

5:10 pm • BSDET

Kansas City Royals

3-3

0 - 8

Detroit Tigers

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Skubal			2.80	7-3
J.Bowlan			3.00	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	+1.5-120	o8-108	+172
Tigers 4-3	-1.5+100	u8-112	-210

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

September 28, 2023

Comerica ParkDetroit

T.Skubal o6.5 Ks-120

Skubal will be on his job today. He’s been throwing over 7 Ks consistently since August 18th and dialed in. Should have a strong finish to his season tonight.

T.Skubal u18.5 Outs-154

0.65u

T.Skubal o17.5 Outs-150

$100.00

Do NOT bet o 18.5 Salvy owns Skubal, but Skubal should have ease w/ rest of the line up. I see him going 6 but I wouldn’t trust the 18.5 depending on where he is in the lineup starting 6.1

Featured Insight
Tigers have won just 47% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- ninth-worst in MLB. Royals have won 63% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- second-best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Royals have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- sixth-lowest in MLB (116 games). The Tigers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations over the last two weeks -- fifth-lowest in MLB (107 games).

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The Tigers are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

MJ Melendez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 11th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 32% this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .034 (29 PA's) with two-strikes -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .230 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .109 (5-for-46) against Tarik Skubal -- 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 26th	KC	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	DET -164
Sep 24th	@OAK	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	DET -138
Sep 23rd	@OAK	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	OAK -130
Sep 23rd	@OAK	L 2-8	-1.5 L	O 8	OAK -162
Sep 22nd	@OAK	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	DET -190

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Bowlan, P	29	2	2	1
LA.Zerpa, P	36	2	2	3
RS.Cruz, P	35	2	3	2
RJ.Kowar, P	46	1.2	1	2
LT.Davidson, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Perez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4N.Velazquez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5E.Olivares, DH	1-3	0	0	0
6N.Loftin, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Waters, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Porter, C	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Blanco, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LT.Skubal, P	52	4	8
RM. Díaz, P	25	2	1
RB.Hanifee, P	29	2	1
RT.Wingenter, P	11	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2M.Vierling, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
2M.Vierling, LF	0-3	1	0	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5M. Cabrera, DH	2-3	2	1	2
6A.Ibanez, 2B	1-4	1	0	1
7A.Baddoo, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7T.Nevin, PH	1-2	2	1	3
7T.Nevin, 3B	1-2	2	1	3
8J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-4	1	1	2