The Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2-1) and Detroit Red Wings (3-1-0) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Mich. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Lightning are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6.5 (+107o / -126u). The Lightning are a -155 favorite to win outright, while the Red Wings are +130 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Lightning vs. Red Wings predictions and NHL picks.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Odds, Pick
| Lightning Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 6 -120o / 100u | -155 |
| Red Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 6 -120o / 100u | +130 |
Lightning vs. Red Wings Spread: Lightning -1.5 (+157), Red Wings +1.5 (-191)
Lightning vs. Red Wings Over/Under: 6.5 (+107o / -126u)
Lightning vs. Red Wings Moneyline: Lightning -155, Red Wings +130
Lightning vs. Red Wings Preview
The "Well Rested Visiting Faves" system in NHL moneyline betting focuses on the advantage of strong road favorites facing weaker, non-playoff-caliber opponents with several days of rest.
The premise is simple: Rest gives these favorites time to reset physically and prepare strategically while still maintaining the higher quality edge that comes with being favored in the first place. Facing an opponent that failed to reach the postseason in the prior year adds another layer, as these teams often lack consistency or resilience over the long season.
Playing on the road removes distractions and sharpens focus, and when a superior team has three or four days off, they are less likely to suffer from travel fatigue. That combination of rest, opponent weakness, and the role of the favorite has proven to deliver profitable long-term results.
Lightning vs. Red Wings Prediction
Overall, this system is 784-457-0 (63%) and has generated a 7% ROI. It's also off to a strong start this season, cashing six of seven picks (86%) for a 40% ROI.
Best Bet: Lightning Moneyline
